College basketball and computer formulas have become as compatible as Preston Knowles and the contested jumper in recent years. But even with new websites highlighting new formulas popping up on a daily basis, the most respected and referenced is still Ken Pomeroy's.
KenPom.com is out with its fresh rankings and projections this morning, and the site has Louisville at No. 8 and projects a 22-9 (12-6) season for the Cards. In far less cool news, Kentucky is No. 1.
Here's how Pomeroy sees Louisville's season playing out:
Date | Opponent | Result | Location | Record | Conf | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fri Nov 11 | 289 | Tennessee Martin | W, 86-59 | 70 | 98% | Home | ||
Sun Nov 13 | 214 | Lamar | W, 89-66 | 75 | 96% | Home | ||
Sat Nov 19 | 58 | Butler | W, 66-64 | 65 | 61% | Away | ||
Tue Nov 22 | 184 | Arkansas St. | W, 76-57 | 66 | 95% | Home | ||
Fri Nov 25 | 111 | Ohio | W, 80-64 | 69 | 90% | Home | ||
Mon Nov 28 | 76 | Long Beach St. | W, 78-65 | 71 | 87% | Home | ||
Fri Dec 2 | 9 | Vanderbilt | W, 73-69 | 68 | 64% | Home | ||
Wed Dec 7 | 109 | IUPUI | W, 75-60 | 64 | 90% | Home | ||
Sat Dec 10 | 339 | Fairleigh Dickinson | W, 86-52 | 68 | 99% | Home | ||
Sat Dec 17 | 20 | Memphis | W, 73-67 | 69 | 73% | Home | ||
Tue Dec 20 | 145 | College of Charleston | W, 80-63 | 68 | 93% | Home | ||
Fri Dec 23 | 265 | Western Kentucky | W, 83-58 | 69 | 97% | Home | ||
Wed Dec 28 | 48 | Georgetown | W, 72-62 | 66 | 81% | Home | ||
Sat Dec 31 | 1 | Kentucky | L, 73-63 | 67 | 18% | Away | ||
Tue Jan 3 | 107 | St. John's | W, 71-64 | 68 | 74% | Away | ||
Sat Jan 7 | 34 | Notre Dame | W, 73-66 | 65 | 75% | Home | ||
Tue Jan 10 | 112 | Providence | W, 80-72 | 74 | 74% | Away | ||
Sat Jan 14 | 149 | DePaul | W, 82-64 | 70 | 93% | Home | ||
Mon Jan 16 | 21 | Marquette | L, 71-70 | 68 | 46% | Away | ||
Sat Jan 21 | 7 | Pittsburgh | L, 68-64 | 64 | 34% | Away | ||
Wed Jan 25 | 39 | Villanova | W, 73-65 | 67 | 76% | Home | ||
Sat Jan 28 | 75 | Seton Hall | W, 72-67 | 70 | 67% | Away | ||
Sat Feb 4 | 106 | Rutgers | W, 73-59 | 65 | 90% | Home | ||
Mon Feb 6 | 6 | Connecticut | W, 67-65 | 66 | 58% | Home | ||
Sat Feb 11 | 26 | West Virginia | L, 67-66 | 64 | 47% | Away | ||
Mon Feb 13 | 5 | Syracuse | W, 70-68 | 67 | 57% | Home | ||
Sat Feb 18 | 149 | DePaul | W, 77-67 | 70 | 80% | Away | ||
Thu Feb 23 | 33 | Cincinnati | L, 66-65 | 64 | 49% | Away | ||
Sun Feb 26 | 7 | Pittsburgh | W, 68-65 | 64 | 62% | Home | ||
Wed Feb 29 | 84 | South Florida | W, 71-58 | 64 | 88% | Home | ||
Sat Mar 3 | 5 | Syracuse | L, 72-66 | 67 | 29% | Away | ||
Projected record: | 22-9 | 12-6 | ||||||
Chance of unbeaten record: | 0.00% | 0.02% | ||||||
Chance of winless record: | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Syracuse? See, this is why humans will never be able to fully trust machines.