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Pittsburgh 76, Louisville 69

I'm going to go ahead and get this out of the way first, because it's what's bothering me most right now: Pittsburgh wanted that game more than our guys. They did. The thought first entered my mind sometime in the middle of the second half, but I just as quickly dismissed it. By the end of the game I'd accepted it as fact.

I'm not saying they outworked us, because our guys always play hard, but they smacked us around a little down low at the beginning of the game, and from that point on you could see just a hint of doubt on the faces of some of our guys. And that morsel makes all the difference in the world. We were just a tad slow, just a tad confused, and just a tad unsure of ourselves all night.

Louisville's opponent was the one more focused and dedicated to playing on Friday night, and because of that they earned (and deserve) the right to do so.

One guy who was anything but intimidated was Earl Clark, who gave his third straight really gritty performance in a row. E5 led the team in both points (19) and boards (9), and was the one player who consistently stepped up when the Cards had to have somebody make a play.

His three-point play to put us up one at 54-53 elicited probably my biggest overreaction of the year, a jump/swinging fist accompanied by a token "come on!" I then rocked the "pissed off for no real reason" post-celebration walk, which is only seen outside of sporting events in the form of drunk guys at bars acting like they want to fight when they know full well that the hoards of people around them will never let it happen. This is what Louisville basketball does to me.

I have heard that there is something wrong with Earl's right arm/shoulder, and that he tweaked it again last night (right before the two free-throws he tried to shoot through the backboard). I'd be worried if he hadn't played so sensationally, even after the re-aggravation.

Earl Clark playing the way he is right now is one of the biggest positives we can draw from over the next seven days.

This was the main reason I wanted to win the Georgetown game so badly. The league title would have been nice, having the inside track for a two seed would have been swell, but avoiding these guys in the first round was the top prize in my eyes...guys.

The Panthers are a handful of wins away from having a legitimate gripe about the name of this tournament not being changed to the PIT ("Pittsburgh Invitational Tournament"). They are our antonym when it comes to success in Madison Square Garden and in the Big East Tournament, and I'd just as soon stay away from them in this thing for the next 100 years.

This sounds silly because it's one of those things you can't prove, but I really think that we would have beaten any one of the other three first-round winners. I picked Pitt to finish third in the preseason, and I honestly believe that they would have been right there with us and Georgetown if the injuries to LeVance Fields and Mike Cook hadn't occurred. I'm still not sure if they're a team capable of making it to the second weekend without Cook, but with Fields healthy - and he looked quite healthy Thursday night - they're going to be a hell of an out for somebody.

CardsFan922 is completely right, you can get by with one lights-out shooter (Humphrey, McNamara, Dixon) and a streaky supporting cast, but you take that one guy out of the equation and great teams become good teams awfully quickly. This team is nothing more than good when Jerry Smith is shooting the ball the way he is right now.

People do go through slumps, though, and it'd be acceptable if this were the only thing Jerry was doing wrong, but it isn't. He was consistently out of place when we were in zone, he lost Ramon on sideline out-of-bounds plays multiple times, and the ill-advised pass he made on the break at the end of the second half as well as the bullet pass to nobody to start the overtime were both crucial and inexcusable mistakes.

Still, he's never not going to play hard, and you have to love him for that.

I honestly cannot believe I'm about to say this, but Derrick Caracter should have played much more. Twice I found myself calling for DC out loud, and both times my father was quickly sent on a cold wash cloth errand to help allay the subsequent spins.

Perhaps the more educated among us could have foreseen something like this after those bizarre six turnovers three weeks ago in the Steel City, but I never thought that David Padgett would play so poorly in a game of that magnitude. Padgett has held his own all season against guys who had him in either size or quickness, but against a guy like Blair who has the edge in both, he really struggled. It seemed at times that he was so focused on the physicality of the game that he wasn't able to do anything else. There were instances when he was working so hard to shove Blair and Biggs around to get in rebounding position, that when the ball actually came to him he was completely unprepared to handle it.

Caracter, on the other hand, is every bit Blair's equal in natural size and skill, and he was able to achieve things tonight that David couldn't. He hit 5-of-7 shots, drew a couple of fouls on the freshman, and actually played fantastic defense. These are the games Derrick Caracter was bred for, and it would have behooved us to have had him on the floor for more than 14 minutes.

Maybe I'm just getting greedy, but I could use a little more Preston Knowles, especially when Smith is playing the way he was Thursday night. In 14 minutes, the guy got his hands on four balls (laugh 8-year-olds), made two clean steals, knocked down a tough jumper, and was actually banging down low for rebounds harder than any of our bigs at the time, and came away with a pair to show for it.

I understand why he can't play 20-25 minutes every night, but we were better against Pitt when he was on the floor.

I think I speak for a lot of people when I say that I'm ready to see some non-Big East opponents. There's certainly a place for the "big guys shoving other big guys and trying to make lay-ups or draw fouls" style in college basketball, but after last night I'm more than ready for a change in scenery.

It'll also be nice to get away (hopefully) from the horribly inconsistent officiating that accompanies the aforementioned style of play. Two-hundred seventy-pound dude lowering his shoulder into 265-pound dude? Let 'em play. One-hundred eighty-pound dude putting his right arm on 185-pound dude's left hip? Let 'em shoot two.

Although I'm certainly not going to praise their work, I'm not blaming last night's officials for anything. I thought the calls were equally inconsistent on both sides, which only makes it slightly less infuriating.

We probably don't make it to overtime without T-Will's three to cut the lead from eight to five with about seven minutes to play, but what in the world was he thinking the rest of the night? The first minute and-a-half of overtime was especially troubling. First he stares down a wide-open Earl Clark under the basket, but decides not to pass it to him and instead try a heavily guarded runner from the right side, a maneuver he's had about a 2.3% success rate over the past three seasons, and then he does the exact same thing - sans the Clark snub - on the next possession.

He went through stretches where it seemed as though his mind was somewhere far, far away, and it appeared as if Pitino got on him at least once about not passing. He simply can't do this for us to have any shot at winning a pair of games next weekend, and if we don't win a pair of games next weekend then he can completely forget about the NBA for another 12 months.

I really, really like the kid, but he needs to answer the bell in a big way next week.

I think we're a four, but my expression wouldn't change the least bit if we popped up as a five on Sunday. I'm not holding out any hope that we steal a three, so my only concern at the moment is hoping for the best possible matchups. We'll take a look at possible first-round opponents over the weekend.

I thought Edgar Sosa played as well as he has all season in the first half when he handed out four assists, and really should have had at least two more. Still, the undeniably negative expression on his face that was captured by the ESPN cameras when he was taken out near the end of regulation was disappointing, and you have to think that if that hasn't changed by this point, then it simply never is. I've resigned myself to the fact that when he's good, Sosa's going to be really good, and when he's bad, he's going to be every bit as atrocious.

Andre McGee didn't do anything particularly poorly besides put up a doughnut from the floor, and forget once again that he's 5-10 and lacks the ability to shoot the ball through people. We need both his steady presence and the occasional knocked down open three to win tight games, and he hasn't provided either in the waning moments of the last two losses. This team continues to look panicked at the end of close games, and if McGee is truly going to step into the captain's role next season, then he needs to begin to act as a Padgett-esque calming influence when the ball is in his hands and the game is on the line. I'm fairly certain he'll get another shot before his junior season ends.

There's no way Sam Young was only 8-of-19 from the field. It's simply not possible. I yelled "good" when he caught the ball in the middle of our zone and went up for an open jumper approximately 60 times, and I'm 99% sure that he made all 60. So I guess it was around the third time that they flashed a statistic saying he was 3-for-11 or so that I became certain ESPN was lying.

It's amazing how many different emotions I went through in the last two seconds of regulation. It was like the basketball stages of grief.

With 2.0 seconds left I was certain we were going to commit a stupid foul. With 1.7 left I was certain we were going to overtime because Fields had just let fly an impossible fadeaway shot from the left corner. With .9 seconds left I was terrified that the shot might actually go in. With .3 seconds left I felt nothing, because I was positive that the shot was going in. And then when the horn sounded I went through about 15 more, highlighted by No. 9: blacking out.

While Juan Palacios' awkwardness (did anyone actually think for a second that he was going to finish that dunk from where he took off?) is both hilarious and exasperating, he's effectively shed his "soft" image and played like a beast down low over the last three weeks or so. He actually banged on the boards as well as anyone on the team last night, came down with five, and got his hands on about six or seven others. While I still scream for him to pass every second the ball is in his hands, you can't have enough guys who play as hard as JDP, and I'm going to miss him next year.

Jim Burr is not good at his job.

The main purpose of this week's election was to take responsibility for whatever happened in New York off of my shoulders, but I still have to come clean here: the only two games I can remember not Tivoing all season are the last two.

I just realized it about two hours ago, and I'm still struggling to come to terms with how it happened. I was fully aware of the faux-pas after the Georgetown game, and to make the same error twice in less than a week is enough to make a man listen to The Smiths for 10-hours straight (I'm in hour three, and beginning to break).

I also switched up the wardrobe and went with red long-sleeved "Louisville Cardinals" across the chest in white, which has been equally abysmal in all sports for the last year or so. No idea where I'm turning on Thursday or Friday, but there's plenty of time for soul/closet searching.

If that weren't enough, Carolina March also chimes in with its theory about why things have gone so wrong since last Saturday.

Basically, we've got a whole heap of mojo that needs to get righted over the course of the next seven days.

I guarantee that I'm every bit as down right now as the lowest among you, but I trust that feeling to die the moment I see our name flash on the screen Sunday night.

This team has the ability to beat any other in that field of 65, and that's still something to be excited about. We all look forward to this time of the year too much to spend the next week obsessed with what went wrong last night.

This is when you put your faith in the head coach and your senior leaders, and I think we're pretty set in both areas.

There's Cardinal basketball left to be played, and that's cause for joy whenever you can say it truthfully.

Go Cards.

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A night-mare of upsets
and Jesus, we had to be one of 'em.

Had a bad feeling all yesterday about this game--maybe it was the way they handled us in the second half at Pitt and almost won.  I remembered Blair all too well...

Let's see...the overall stats were remarkably even--except for our incredibly poor outside shooting.  The rebounds, TO's , assists were about even.  Our Bigs shot >50%; the guards and T Will =15% !!!!  (and that includes Preston's 1 for 2!)

Like last game, we missed A LOT of open shots.  But, sadly...Sosa and T Will and even Andre got regressively wild at times this game.

We have been challenged all yr to beat teams from the outside--and when we lose, that's where it happens  (in the big pic statistically).

But...my eyes also told me after 5 min...Pitt wanted this game far more. They were a step faster...they made us very uncomfortable with their D--we shot worse (33%) in the second half when the chips were down...although both O and D rebounds were even, they seemed to get the important rebounds and putbacks.

The step faster got them to the 14 more free throw attempts-- they got 11 more points than us right there at the line. (I refuse to whine about crummy refs.)

It's simply shooting.  Our guards and T can't shoot 15%  and expect to win...against ANY quality opponent.

And because shooting is such a mental thing, it's tough to "fix."  And this frustrates everyone and everything the team tries to do. And tempts them to regressive wildness/streetball.

Very disappointing loss.  Not totally unexpected by me--just VERY disappointing.  Even more so because these last two games now show we're not ready for a big NCAA run-- unless we just get "hot" from the outside again.

Yes, if we're hot, we beat ANY team.  And, we can play any team about even because of our sheer quantity of talent. But we won't BEAT them until we can shoot a decent % from outside.

We CAN... but it's all a roll of the mental dice now.

Let us all now bow our heads and pray...

by frankpos on Mar 14, 2008 7:35 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Thanks...
...for the quick turnaround on the post-game.  It is going to be tough for us not to be thinking about this and the Georgetown game obsessively until Sunday and beyond, imagine how hard it will be for the team?

Frank is right about the mental thing.  T-will and Jerry both had open 3's that they didn't take, and you could see them thinking about it.  Then they drive and put up a wild shot and don't get the foul call.  Trite but true: you have to shoot your way out of a slump.  

Lost in the shuffle was Earl's sick 1-handed dunk over the Pitt guy from like the FT line.  Hopefully JERB will have that in animated GIF and youtubular format soon.  That dunk was unreal.  

Also the DC thing -- the guy I was watching with and I were screaming for DC to get back in because Padgett looked terrible.  Sure the offense runs through DP, but even when he was finding an open guy they weren't shooting.  And his little money baby-hook was so off, what was he doing for us?  DC was passing some, but mainly he was taking Blair to the basket and scoring on him.  Again and again.  

Yes, no more Big East teams please.  And refs.  The officiating was truly terrible, but for awhile it looked like we were getting the calls (or no-calls).  Then they give Pitt points on random Sosa arm-grazes or when Fields or Ramon would Deiner-dribble into a guy.  And T-will's "charge after scoring" -- in the discussion for worst call of the night. The Sosa "push-off" on the baseline has to be in that discussion too, although wtf was he doing down there anyway?

And Mike, don't blame yourself.  I share some responsibility, along with a CardChron lurker. I watched the game at his house, only the 2nd UL game we've ever watched together.  The other? The 2007 UK football game.  Sorry everyone.

Okay, now I have to avoid 3 days of conference tourneys because I can't stand watching other teams play after we've lost, then pray for a 3 seed on Sunday -- I still think we are in the mix.  

Ugh.  

by CardsFan922 on Mar 14, 2008 8:26 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Reno Dave
Pitt did a heck of job double teaming DP every time he touched the ball in the paint. Most nights he would have 6 or 7 assists in a situation like that, but the shots just weren't falling. So DP ended up looking like the A-hole. Don't be to hard on him.  

by Blocky on Mar 14, 2008 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Adding..
...all of this analysis helps us work through it, but the fact is, as Frank pointed out, Sosa-T-will-Smith-McGee shot a combined 4-31 and Sosa-Smith-McGee were a combined 0-11 in the Georgetown game.

And we still lost one game by 3 after missing a wide-open shot to tie the game and lost the other in OT to a team with Sam Young getting to shoot extra shots at halftime (which he apparently missed since at least 5 people have questioned the accuracy of his stats as everyone saw with their own eyes he hit 25 straight shots from middle of the zone.)

Anyway, if our guards shoot 20% in the last two games -- just 20%!!!! -- we are a 1-seed and spending the day being afraid of Joe Alexander and planning for a 2 seed.  20%!!!! Argh.

by CardsFan922 on Mar 14, 2008 8:34 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

My reflection
For as poorly as the team played as a whole, they still kept the game really close...largely due to E5 being a beast. This is me being optomistic because I love the cards but I have a feeling they are going to string together a couple of wins in the big dance.
I'm buying a new house and dedicating a room to louisville....and the tennessee titans.

by LvillefaninLex on Mar 14, 2008 8:38 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'll add now that fully caffeinated
  1. that Earl 1 - handed dunk was indeed mind-boggling
  2. that Tello "I'm -Mike Jordan-watch-me-now" dunk (attempt) from just inside the free throw line was just as mind-goggling (in it's own terrible Juan-like way)
3)RickyP went with his starters at the end -- can't blame him really, it but lacked boldness.  DC --and Preston-- were more productive in this game.
3)Summation: we'll go as far as our outside shooting and David's shaky knees will take us --and that's been the bottom line all season really.

by frankpos on Mar 14, 2008 9:21 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Disagree
"This team has the ability to beat any other in that field of 65, and that's still something to be excited about. We all look forward to this time of the year too much to spend the next week obsessed with what went wrong last night.

This is when you put your faith in the head coach and your senior leaders, and I think we're pretty set in both areas."

You see, Mike, that's just not true. We will lose opening round; or, if we squeak by, for sure in round 2. We have no mo, no heart, no leadership (Padgett has completely vanished and Twill has swapped brains with DC), and mismanaged talent. I hate to be a pessimist, but we're a secound round out at best. Which means...

Denny Crum's last 7: 2 sweet sixteens
Rick sPintino's first 7: just one.

by davidson07 on Mar 14, 2008 10:03 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

What the hell are you talking about?
As incredibly useful as it is to compare coaches from over a twenty year difference, what is your point?

Also, did you watch any of Denny's teams the last 3 years he coached? I have a hazy memory of a 5 win season. Why don't we compare Denny's last to Rick's first, that might shed a little light on the situation.  

by Blocky on Mar 14, 2008 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Rather than be baited into Denny bashing
I'd rather address you and your impressive posting history:

March 13-14 (Pitt) - 5 substantive posts
March 8 (G-town) - 1 substantive post
--
January 29 (UConn) - 1 substantive post
--
January 19 (Seton Hall) - 3 substantive posts
--

Nothing else but a couple of offhand comments having nothing to do with the team, and one where you admitted yelling that Dominic James was faking when he fell down (Classy, by the way).  

You have done such a great job in idenifying patterns in the season statistics for Denny and Rick, I wonder if you can see anything in these?  

I will add that typically we wait for teams to flame out early in the tournament before we dog them for flaming out early in the tournament.  But you may be on to something.    

by 83fan on Mar 14, 2008 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Aw Jeez
Not this shit again!

by louisville lisa on Mar 14, 2008 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shooting
When you shoot 37% you are not going to beat any team that is in the big east.  
  1. Love DC and E5
  2. Love Ricky P pulling T-Will after 2 horrible shots.
  3. Love PKnowles......
  4. Hate no intensity when the game gets rough.
  5. Hate Ricky P in tight games
  6. Need Jerry to get out of his slump.
  7. Need Sosa to want the starting role.
  8. Need to have more games at MSG to prepare for the Big East Tourney.
  9. STILL BELIEVE IN THE CARDS!!!
Flying like the Bird, Michael

by Stark on Mar 14, 2008 10:59 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Black Friday
...Yeah, Mike, it was your duds.  I think I told you (I KNOW I told Frank) to wear your Crazy Clothes, your CCs.  But no, no, you guys have to don the store bought rags with the logo to let everybody know who you are when everybody already knows who you are.
And because of that things have substantively changed.
Now I'm standing in the hallway with water in my shoes, head down, livin' rough, watching my 401K bleed out, with no Cardinal basketball tonight.
Roz  

by Roz on Mar 14, 2008 11:09 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Damn it, I WAS wearing my crazy clothes
I will admit to having a bourbon before actual celebration time

but that has never proved to be

a game deciding talisman

by frankpos on Mar 14, 2008 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Offensive
I know the cliche' about defense winning championships, but at the risk of being terribly redundant, I'll say this again -- we don't shoot the ball well enough or consistently enough to advance very far in the tournament.

To be successful in the post-season, you need three things:

--A couple of people who will get the ball of the boards regardless of the opponent.

--Team defense.

--Someone who can shoot the ball well in the face of defensive pressure.

We have terrific team defense and really good on-the-ball pressure.  But offensively, we can't shoot a lick.  We were successful with David handing out assists, but Jay Wright at Villanova showed the rest of the world how to defense  us in the half court.  Pressure David when he has the ball as if he were a guard.  That's what Villanova did the last time we played them, and Jamie Wright obviously learned that lesson.  They doubled and triple-teamed David when he caught the ball low. (Although he never caught it as low as he should've because Blair, Brown and others shoved him all over the place.)  And when he had it up top, they had somebody up in his body, pressuring him as if he were a point guard.

It worked.  He threw a couple of passes to Clark for dunks in the first half and that was pretty much it.  A couple of times he tried to throw to the man opposite, but either gave the guy a bad pass or missed him entirely.

The lack of a shooter is obvious because the numbers speak for themselves.  Jerry's the best we have and he hasn't been consistent all year.  Now he even looks reluctant to shoot the thing, especially in tight situations.

Maybe it all will change.  Maybe when we play somebody out of the league Jerry will hit everything he shoots and we'll run the half-court with Pete Carille precision.

And for what it's worth, I think we'll fall to a six seed.  Hope I'm wrong about that, too.

by theoldman on Mar 14, 2008 11:55 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

We are a 4
Here's why:

*Notre Dame and UConn, the only two Big East teams with a realistic chance to jump us in seeding, both lost.  We have a better RPI/SOS than both, as well as more top 50 wins and a better record over the top half of the Big East.  There just doesn't seem to be a way that you can put us behind either team.

*If West VA wins the tourney:  some people weren't even talking about them as being in before yesterday, so to put them above us in the top 16 would be absurd, even if they do win.

*If Pitt wins the tourney:  a 5 at the absoulute best.  They went 10-8 in the Big East, and while I know they turn into beasts at MSG every March, you just can't make them jump the other five teams who finished ahead of them in the standings because of one weekend.  You can't.

*If Marquette wins the tourney:  we beat them handily, twice, and finished three games ahead.  Again, you can't throw away 9 weeks o' league play for one weekend.  Maybe a 4 if they win, but if they're AHEAD of us, it's just poor evaluation on the part of the committee.  Call me naive, but I have faith in their judgement on this one.

Now, if you agree with all of this, tell me how the committee keeps the second place Big East team, and presumably second HIGHEST seeded Big East team, out of the Top 16?  Find me a tournament where the second highest BE seed was below a 4.  

Since this is Louisville, where we look ahead to potential matchups in March while making sure never to overlook anyone in the process, we want either Tennessee, Memphis, or Duke as the 1 in our bracket.  Kansas, UNC and UCLA is bad news.  This means:

*Cheer against Kansas this weekend
*Cheer for Rocky Top and Rabbi Pearl
*Cheer for Memphis to beat whatever high school they're playing in their 8 am final tomorrow.
*Cheer for Duke (yes, I know it's hard) to beat UNC in the ACC final and possibly steal a 1
*Cheer for UCLA to crash out tonight against UCLA and possibly get a 2.

Got all that?  Good.  Great blog, dude.  

by stepscalled on Mar 14, 2008 12:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Oops
I meant UCLA crashing out to USC tonight--although if UCLA wants to beat themselves, then that's fine, too.

by stepscalled on Mar 14, 2008 12:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

seeding
In 05 I thought UofL was a for sure 2 seed, they got a 4. Last year I thought they were a 4 maybe 5, they got a six. This year I think they deserve a 4, but don't be surprised if they give stuck with a 5.

by rschulz on Mar 14, 2008 12:47 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

seeding
I agree we've gotten jobbed the last two tourneys, but 05 was CUSA, and 07 was a team with an inferior profile.  I will absolutely be surprised if they stick us with a 5 given our profile and the teams below us (or lack thereof).  And to those who don't think a 4 or 5 is much difference:  would you rather play in Birmingham or Omaha?  

by stepscalled on Mar 14, 2008 12:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Seeding
The reason I mentioned that we could fall to a six is because we've been so consistently jobbed by the committee in the past.  We're also going into the tournament on a losing streak.  Granted it's the shortest possible streak, but nevertheless it is what it is.

So we deserve to be a four; some can make the argument that we've fallen to a five.  I think the worst, that somebody on the committee hates us, and they'll job us again if given the chance.

As I said before, hope to goodness I'm wrong.  But if we don't suddenly start shooting the ball a little, it might not matter.

by theoldman on Mar 14, 2008 1:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I understand your points
But I still think it will be too hard for the committee to job us out of 4 or 5 seed for two reasons:
  1. The unquestionable strength of the Big East.
  2. The fact that both Notre Dame and UConn both lost yesterday. I mean if we fall below a 4 or 5 seed, where do ND and UConn get seeded? Shouldn't they be lower than us since we finished with a better conference record? Tell me if you think the committee will stick UConn or ND with a 7 seed? It doesn't make sense.
That's why I don't see us getting a 6 seed on Sunday. I think our absolute worst case scenario is a 5 seed.

by louisville lisa on Mar 14, 2008 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The committee will screw us
They always do....the year we made it to the Final Four, we were a 4 seed...bet they put UConn ahead of us, and I wouldn't be surprised if they did the same with ND.
Go Cards!

by Red Rage on Mar 15, 2008 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

David Pagett is key
and when he was disrupted as much as he was, it is clear that teams want the ball in Edgar or McGee's hands which means that we are in for a ride.

Each time Pagett tried for a pick and roll, the defender would knock him out of the path to the basket (like a CB would do to a wide receiver in football) just enough so that he was unable to get the pass cleanly and move toward the basket.

After catching the ball, even in the high post, teams (Pitt #1, G'Town #2, Villinova, Pitt#2) will double team him and block his vision and make it impossible to find an open shooter.

Everyone knows that he is the hub of the offense and Pitino's system doesn't work if Pagett can't find the open man either on the perimeter or somewhere where he can drive.

We were able to beat Pitt the first time because Edgar scored something like 18 points even when they collapsed on Pagett. G'town didn't collapse in the first game but they did in the second. And since Edgar and Jerry haven't scored much, it puts too much pressure on the rest of the offense to do something which it ends up doing nothing.

I personally wouldn't be surprised to be as low as a #5.

by xjjeep90 on Mar 14, 2008 1:58 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Brian/Lions?
For what it's worth, some NFL draft guru on the MSNBC web site has Brian Brohm going to the Lions with the 15th pick of the draft.  Whoo hooo!

by theoldman on Mar 14, 2008 2:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Careful with words like that
Mike might lose his mind if it does, or even if it does not happen.

by Blocky on Mar 14, 2008 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Brohm doesn't want to be a Lion
Because if he doesn't resurrect the program, he will be hearing about it frequently.

by Mike Rutherford on Mar 14, 2008 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am amazed
that we have been so close to winning in the last two games with the way our guard play has been. It does show how much talent we have. If we could only get it all clicking at the same time (remember the beginning of the Notre Dame game?). Do you think there was so much build-up to the Georgetown game, and obvious importance of the Big East Tournament that our guards just tighten up or try too hard? I have thoroughly believed all along that Sosa has been a mental case all year from the NCAA Tournament game last year (and after reading the article in the NY Times, I'm sure of it now). And now I feel Jerry has fallen into one. However, if Jerry would have just one good shooting night, I believe his funk would be gone. I just hope he breaks out of it in time. Go Cards!

by pianoman on Mar 14, 2008 3:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Great post, Mike
Lots of interesting responses; I don't have anything substantive to add. I have simply decided to treat this relapse of bad habits by our team as a Pitt-Big East Tourney-MSG voodoo curse put on our team by some disgruntled Memphis State voodoo witch. It makes sense if you think about it since so many of the Memphis State fans were bitter when we left them behind for a better offer. Not to mention their ire after the Darius Washington, Jr. crash and burn of 2005. It's not much a stretch to imagine that one of them put a voodoo hex on us just for spite.

Is this a rational explanation? Probably not, but it makes me feel a helluva lot better.

I trust Pitino to perform a proper "cleansing of the team energy" in time for our first round tourney game.

by louisville lisa on Mar 14, 2008 4:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

potential match ups
I know Mike is going to look at potentional opponents later in this weekend, but I'd like to be the first to say I don't want to see Western Kentucky in a 4/13 match up or 5/12. Another team that is playing well in that seed range would be San Diego. But if the Cards play like they should, the first game should be no problem, and a feel like an exhibition game compared to the Big East.

by rschulz on Mar 14, 2008 4:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

As the guards go...
...so goes our game. When the guards are making shots we win when they don't we lose. It has been that simple all year. DP is going to be double-teamed so he will pass out to the guards who are open. They make it, the double-team stops, they don't and we struggle (and usually lose).

I hate it, but I feel that our Final Four chances are dependent upon spotty outside shooting. Can't say I'm as confident as before.

Oh Yeah...the REFS SUCKED!

Go!!!! CARDS!!!!!!!

Time was, a win was WIN, now it's just a win.

by JustCards on Mar 14, 2008 7:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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