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Utah 44, Louisville 35

All right, I'm going to be brutally honest right from the get-go: I simply didn't have the balls to pick against Louisville on this blog when they were two touchdown favorites at home. The truth is, whenever anyone asked me what I thought about the game during the day on Friday, I told them I thought we were going to lose.

I was disappointed, but not shocked when the score reached 21-0, and frankly I have trouble understanding how the people who were shocked managed to convince themselves that the product on the field Friday night was going to be that much superior to the one they saw two weeks ago. Louisville showed absolutely no ability to defend the spread against Middle Tennessee State or Syracuse, so how the hell could any of us expect Utah - easily the second best team the Cards have played - to score less than 30 points?

Because the D played well against an awful NC State team? Because the coaches surely would have them better prepared to handle a style of offense they'd already seen three times? Because 99.9% of teams in all sports have improved at least a little bit a month and a half into their respective seasons?

Nope.

And it's not like Utah is heading anywhere special this season. I think both Syracuse and Middle Tennessee State have proven that the only thing torching Louisville's defense really means is that you'll have a better shot at finishing with a double digit national ranking in total offense at the end of the season than you would have had the Cards not been on the schedule.

The actual numbers are staggering. Keep in mind that the following is with the Louisville game added into the "season averages" category.

Syracuse

SEASON AVERAGES:

Points: 16.8
Rush Yards: 40.6
Pass Yards: 232
Total Offense: 272.6

AGAINST LOUISVILLE:

Points: 38
Rush Yards: 42
Pass Yards: 423
Total Offense: 465

Middle Tennessee State

SEASON AVERAGES:

Points: 24
Rush Yards: 112.8
Pass Yards: 199.4
Total Offense: 312.2

AGAINST LOUISVILLE:

Points: 42
Rush Yards: 265
Pass Yards: 290
Total Offense: 555

Utah

SEASON AVERAGES:

Points: 23.5
Rush Yards: 120.3
Pass Yards: 230
Total Offense: 350.3

AGAINST LOUISVILLE:

Points: 44
Rush Yards: 260
Pass Yards: 322
Total Offense: 582

It was mentioned earlier, but can you imagine just how bad things would be if this team had a mediocre quarterback? We'd be no better than 2-4 with a pair of shocking home losses that would read even more humiliating than they do now.

Poor Brian, poor Harry, poor Art. Six games into the dream senior season and they've already accumulated as many losses as they did in their worst season to date, 2005.

When Brock scored to make it 27-21, Utah looked like a team that knew it was on the verge of being rolled over by a superior opponent. The sideline was dead and the coaches were anxious. This is the point where the 2006 Louisville Cardinals come out jacked up, get a quick stop, get the ball back to their offense which scores quickly en route to a three score victory. This was the point where the 2007 Louisville Cardinals came out feigning enthusiasm, didn't come close to making a tackle within five yards of the line of scrimmage, and let Utah grab all the momentum back after a far too easy seven play, 82-yard touchdown drive.  

The defense has officially reached the point where if Lamar Myles gets blocked, they're completely fucked. I mean that's really the only offensive gameplan you need to beat Louisville anymore. Take five guys, have them block No. 22, score lots of touchdowns.

I think the thing that frustrates me most about the defense isn't the fact that we're still not getting any pressure on the quarterback or making the tackle at first contact, it's that our cornerbacks and safeties continue to give opposing receivers 10-yard cushions. We have a secondary full of guys who aren't overly athletic, but are pretty physical for their position. It makes no sense to have the likes of Bobby Buchanan, Jon Russell, Richard Raglin, Deon Palmer and Johnny Patrick (although his cover skills will improve) not pressing receivers in straight man situations. Let them hit somebody, let them disrupt a route, let them make it so that calling a drag doesn't constitute a guaranteed 25-yard gain.

I don't really expect much to change from here on out, because look at how little has changed up to this point. I mean did you see what I saw out there last night? It was the Syracuse game. And not just a few similarities here and there, a f***ing carbon copy. Surprising early deficit, seven points at halftime, mini third quarter run, and a late turnover that ended up making the score a lot friendlier than it should have been.

Oh and it could have been a lot less friendly. People complaining about the onside kick decision need to realize that Utah had the ball up 41-21 in the fourth when they fumbled, and that coupled with the fact that they had a guaranteed three points if Johnson simply throws the ball away on the last play before halftime should make all of us grateful that the final margin wasn't 24 or 28.

Still, about that onside kick...it was the second controversial Steve Kragthorpe decision this season that I've agreed with. I don't care if we had two timeouts and there was 3:20 left, did any of the people bitching about the call actually watch the first 57 minutes? What part of Utah getting nine yards on every dive or sweep they ran did you miss? We never would have seen the ball again.

What I didn't agree with was taking the ball off of the foot of Art Carmody, who had booted a beautiful kick on the previous attempt. I don't think the two kicker thing was fooling anybody, especially since only one of them actually moved. Next time go with the guy who's actually going to give you the best shot.

I'm not going to discuss Kragthorpe at length because I think the way I felt after the Syracuse still mostly covers the way I feel now, but there's one thing I can't avoid mentioning and that's the way he's handled Harry Douglas' injury. In a move that was a thinly-veiled attempt to cover his ass in the wake of a horribly embarrassing loss, Kragthorpe abandoned his sealed-lips injury policy and told the media on the Monday after the Syracuse game that Douglas would definitely play against NC State. Now obviously the injury was at least somewhat severe, but by going to the media so quickly and saying he was fine so matter-of-factly, Koach managed to make Douglas - a kid who would go over the middle against the '86 Bears if he thought it would help Louisville win - look bad. Of course it wasn't his intent to do this - I'm sure Harry told him that he would be good to go - but recklessly throwing it out there as a certain fact in a feeble attempt to deflect negativity with some good news was a highly irresponsible move, and one that actually makes me wish that the coach would have adhered more strictly to his original frustratingly absurd policy.

I can't believe I'm about to say this, but folks, this team is going to play its last game in November. Ron Cooper's first Louisville team was 7-4 and bowl eligible, the 2002 team that this year's squad was unfavorably compared to in early September went 7-4 and played in the Motor City Bowl; these guys aren't finishing at or above .500 people.

Next Saturday Louisville will take the field as an underdog for the first time since Elvis Dumervil had his leg stepped on by a Vick. They will be dogs in at least three of the five games after that. I want desperately to send the seniors off with a bowl win, even if it comes in a place where whatever happens will be drastically overshadowed by a Maple Leafs game, but right now I don't see where this team finds three victories.  

There are just so many things horribly wrong here, and the worst part is that there are guys who want to win and who deserve to win, and they're being dragged along for the ride. Did you see the kids laughing on the sidelines when it was 21-0? Did you see the defense sitting silently on the benches without a coach anywhere near them when it was 41-21? Did you hear the "we can still win the Big East" and "we'll get it fixed" spiel from "the captain" after the game?

This whole thing sucks, and I'm mad at myself for being this upset about it.

Expect of heavy onslaught of college basketball preview material this week because I really don't want to talk about this anymore.

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Sums it up
I think the coaches not talking to the defense fact pretty much sums it up. Is there NOTHING they can tell them? I really don't understand how Utah (and MTSU) can continue to run the same plays over and over and us not be anywhere near them. Every third and short they'd throw a WR bubble screen or quick pass and there was 5 yards before anyone was near him. I mean, what are the coaches there for?

Whatever. We are a laughingstock. We have essentially been blown out now by Syracuse and Utah, and are a couple 4th quarter Brohm desperation drives away from people knowing how bad we REALLY are.

I saw something on ITV about "friend of a friend" saying coaches are home every night by 7:30. If this is true, that would explain a lot.

I don't see how Krag comes back next year. The problem is he doesn't seem to be CHANGING anything this year. Does he not think there is a problem? Or does he just think that the problem is the players?

Combine the bad on the field play with the off-the-field soap opera...

Whatever. It's a beautiful Saturday and there is good football on TV. Might as well watch so we don't forget what good football looks like.

by CardsFan922 on Oct 6, 2007 9:00 AM EDT   0 recs

Why people did not boo last night
I had feared an incredibly ugly and angry booing scenario if we played badly.

And, when the score reached 21-0 you could feel  the fan tension and ...resigned acceptance.

The tidal shock value of Syracuse was not there...it was in that game that most of us lost all hope for what any of us would consider a decent season--and sheer anger and frustration was displayed consequently in full force by the fans.

The season is over.  And in my 40 yrs of attending U of L sports, I honestly cannot remember anything quite this bad when you consider expectations, the talent-- and the sheer dropoff.

I'm going to "be like Mike" -- and not let this
bug me too much any more.  I've just got to  IJIT (In Jurich I Trust), and trust the right changes  will be made at the top after this sorry drama painfully plays out.

That's right - Jurich.  He IS human and he made a mistake -- I believe he's smart/determined enough to fix it, particularly since this is not only his his pride- and -joy, but also because it's the huge cash cow helping drive the total sports renaissance at U of L.

by frankpos on Oct 6, 2007 9:19 AM EDT   0 recs

Well...
He seems to like changing personel, but how about changing what those guys are doing? It's simply arrogance to leave that defensive system in place after seeing the pressure oriented man to man that we have seen in the past here that worked well enough to win games. These 10-15 yard cushions, lack of blitzing, and lack of stunts is crazy. I believe the coaching staff thinks it's just the personel and not the system. Are they not even willing to say it may be both?      Freddy
"Shocking how nothing shocks anymore..." - Paul Westerberg

by CardinalJunky on Oct 6, 2007 9:21 AM EDT   0 recs

Looking at Mike's #'s, it's simple
We're letting weak teams gain about 200 yrds and 20 points more per game than they are averaging.

No improvement statistically can be seen really -- the stat gap  has remained steady.  And our eyes tell us the rest..

by frankpos on Oct 6, 2007 9:24 AM EDT   0 recs

Excellent analysis
I agree with everything you said.
I trust the decisions of Jurich and will only be further disappointed if there aren't MANY changes in the staff at the end of the season.
A good coaching staff would have these players improving each week and,while not going to a BCS Bowl,many of us would be looking forward to a 9 and 3 or 8 and 4 season and a  December Bowl. I have no hope for that now.
However, coaches being home at 7:30 means absolutely nothing in analyzing what has gone wrong. I have seen coaches who work 18 hours a day and be succesful and I have seen coaches who work 10 hours a day and been equally succesful. It's not about the hours they put in...it's about what they have to offer during the time they are at work.
Lastly,I am hoping we finish at .500 but I don't know where 3 more wins come from.

by CardinalDave on Oct 6, 2007 9:58 AM EDT   0 recs

A little perspective (the stats don't lie)
Mike you are right on about #22.  

According to UofLSports.com, Lamar Myles has 66 tackles this season (6 games).  The next defensive player is Richard Raglin with 28 tackles.  The leading D-linemen is Earl Heyman with 17 tackles.  

For the entire 2006 season (13 games) the leading tacklers were: Nate Harris (65), Will Gay (60), Malik (57), Amobi (55), Brandon Sharp (50), MYLES (45), Preston Smith (44), Zach Anderson (39),and Abe Brown(39).  

In the 2005 season tackles leaders were as follows:  Brandon Johnson (72), Nate (66), Elvis (65), Abe (51), Montavious Stanley (48).  

Basically in the past two years we had outstanding play from atleast two defensive linemen and the tackles were distributed amongst many guys on team.  This year's leaders are Lamar and a bunch of DBs, which means other than #22 the only people in position to make a tackle are defensive backs (obviously well past the line of scrimmage).  I understand that given this year's futility in ending drives in any sort of quick fashion, the shear number of tackles that will be made per game will be higher.  But given the collective nature of tackles made in past seasons, the drop off in production on the defensive side other than one individual is staggering.  As you pointed out the season averages of opposing offenses are hard to ignore, stats for the D this year are quite descriptive of the results on the field.  

by adamcards on Oct 6, 2007 1:31 PM EDT   0 recs

Much different outcome with Petrino here?????
I am a new user here. Huge life-long Cards fan. After last night's loss, I found myself doing what I never thought possible. Searching for Cardinal Football Blogs to try to figure out what is going on. My question is this. What would really be different in terms of on field performance this year if Bobby Petrino were our coach? We would still be missing tackles by yards not inches. There would still be injuries. 4 defensive starters from last year would still be in the NFL (7 gone total). The point is I could go on but I would be adding salt to the proverbial wound. Also it sounds like we had inside issues with our players that might have been previously swept under the rug. Did Petrino move on to a lucrative position in the NFL, or did he just get out in time? Sounds like both to me. I will continue to cheer on through the good and the bad. The thought of the last 3 seasons motivates me to do that. Kragthorpe to me is like a VP of a company that becomes CEO right before the stock falls through the floor. He is not a scapegoat. BTW, I am not related to the coach...lol...never met him either.

by Mark K on Oct 6, 2007 1:32 PM EDT   0 recs

Every year we lose talent
We lost 3 of the best players on D all before last year (Elvis, Montavious, Brandon Johnson) yet the 2006 team only gave up 20 points 4 times (with Pitt and UK scoring late after outcome already decided).  Also, lost Montrell Jones and Josh Tinch, and Harry stepped up.  Mike has mentioned it several times about the myth of the lacking experience.  Lamar, Malik, and Preston Smith all have had 40+ tackle seasons in the past.  Rod and Jon Russell have started many games in the secondary and Peanut, Earl, Cox, and Adrian all have seen significant action.  

Yes injuries would still be there.  But last year lost Bush all year and Brohm for a pair of games and still won games by large margins.  Petrino simply won the games he was supposed to win, especially at home (with these players).  I'm not buying the "he was leaving a sinking ship" area of thought.  The cupboard was (is) not bare.  

by adamcards on Oct 6, 2007 2:04 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I agree entirely with AdamCards
and Mark K, I think you'll see at the Recent Diary "What's the problem" post, that the majority of fans on this site agree that current coaching is the problem both at the D coordinator level and at the top with K (because of many reasons).

There's has simply never been a dropoff of this magnitude so quickly --ever-- in my 40 yrs of watching U of L sports.

If you browse through past posts you'll see very in-depth and football-intelligent detailed explanations from Mike, Blocky, and CardsFan922 particularly -- as well as my own posts.

Glad to see you on the site-- I think you'll like the community.

by frankpos on Oct 6, 2007 5:33 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

All good points......but
We are not just having busted coverage problems that a D coodinator could fix, even when we are directly in front of the opposing players we are blowing tackles and grabbing at the ankles.

by Mark K on Oct 6, 2007 6:46 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

All that says to me is that
the coaches did not prepare them properly for the season, and have been failing miserably in teaching technique since the season began-  because improvements are few.  

by frankpos on Oct 6, 2007 8:06 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I am confused.
All of our players made a powerhouse division A roster based on ability. Is it the tackling technique that our coaches have not been able to teach them. How unfortunate that they made it to this level and someone forgot to teach them how to tackle.

by Mark K on Oct 6, 2007 10:28 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I am confused.
All of our players made a powerhouse division A roster based on ability. Is it the tackling technique that our coaches have not been able to teach them? How unfortunate that they made it to this level and someone forgot to teach them how to tackle.

by Mark K on Oct 6, 2007 10:28 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

sad.....
the best indicator i can give:

there is this guy that sits behind me every game and he always goes ape shit on every bad decision, penalty, etc.

last night i didnt think he was there until the fourth quarter when i turned to look for him and he was sitting right behind me. he looked like his mom had just died. but he was quiet as a mute person

by sam34gtr on Oct 6, 2007 2:51 PM EDT   0 recs

really...
"there is this guy that sits behind me every game and he always goes ape shit on every bad decision, penalty, etc.

last night i didnt think he was there until the fourth quarter when i turned to look for him and he was sitting right behind me. he looked like his mom had just died. but he was quiet as a mute person"

I didn't know you sat in front of me. haha

-Dustin

by Civicman86 on Oct 6, 2007 8:08 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Not Playing to Win
Everything is tentative.  Looks like they are playing not to lose rather than playing to win.
Hit Somebody!

by Club Bob on Oct 6, 2007 6:01 PM EDT   0 recs

What in the world will TJ do?
If the rest of the season is, indeed, as bleak as we fear, will TJ show Krag the door? I hope so, but I don't think he will. Cassity will rightly or wrongly be made a sacrifical lamb so Krag will get his defensive guy. Then he will be given another year to damage our program.

In the meantime, our roster will turn into Grand Central Station with all the current players who want to transfer, and our recruiting may suck. Fans will revolt, too. Clearly, this won't end well. I just hope it ends sooner rather than later.

by louisville lisa on Oct 6, 2007 6:58 PM EDT   0 recs

IMO LL, K would have to personally melt down
fragrantly to lose his job,  even if we lose all of the remaining ones.  

And, then you may be right VERY unfortunately -- K may be given a second yr with his own D guy. (Although Tulsa is currently ranked 110 in total D, so K doesn't know D).

BTW, I fully believe Cassity should go too-- he wasn't made D  Co- coordinator by Petrino for nothing.

by frankpos on Oct 6, 2007 8:13 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Watching Cincy/Rutgers
Anybody else watching this game scared to death ?

by OJSimpsonDidNotDoIt on Oct 6, 2007 9:39 PM EDT   0 recs

Yeah, we're fucked
The Keg O' Nails is gonna be gone next week for sure. But, damn, I love watching this Cincy team. They play with so much heart. I think their new coach is very impressive. Unlike our coach, Kelly actually looks like he knows what he's doing and has, you know, a clue.

by louisville lisa on Oct 6, 2007 11:34 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Their coach is so much better than ours
Cincy went out and hired a proven winner.  Their new coach, Brian Kelly, is a tough nosed grinder-type coach who learned to win before he was given the reins to a big-time program.  During tonights game they chronicled his rise from a nobody to I-AA HC then to Mac Champ Western Mich before he got this job.  The guy won 2 national titles at Grand Valley State for cryin out load.

You hire a winner you get a winning team.  

You hire a QB coach and you get a QB that throws for 400 yds a game.

Which would you choose?

by drhustle on Oct 7, 2007 1:33 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

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