FanPost

Since everyone is freaking out...

Let me be clear first off, UK is the one team I did not want to play in our bracket. This is because, (1) they have nothing to lose and (2) we have everything to lose. UK is on a "dream run" after saying they would go 40-0, they are playing to play and thus have nothing to lose. We again are the favorite again, we are seen as the more experienced team again, and we are the team people expect to make the FF and/or win the NC - we have everything to lose.

However, this is not 2012 heck this is not even December. In 2012, UK was the favorite, they played with a dangerous combination of talent and experience, and we were the overachieving team. This year that is completely reversed. In December, we were the favorite, we played in coRUPPt arena, our players did not have defined roles, and Montrezl wasn't Montrezl. I am still salty over the game in December, because I believe the two palming calls were the turning points in the game. This game is on a neutral court and our players have all seemed to realize who they need to be - no more than Chris Jones, FW, and Trezl.

Here is why I am not nervous:

- KenPom: No team plays Defense and Offense like Louisville. Louisville is 15 in AdjO (this counts our bad performances lately) and 3 in AdjD. Conversely, Kentucky is 17 in AdjO and 25 in AdjD.

- Sagarin sees us as the #1 team in the country.

- Rick Pitino's decent Sweet Sixteen resume

- Russ Smith and our team as a whole have time to heal

- We don't have Chane this time - While I loved Chane, I believe he was a hinderance on this team early in the year. This team really took off after he was dismissed.

- We have more "quality wins" - Up until the tournament, UK boasted wins against us, Missouri and Tennessee. We had wins against SMU (2), UConn (3), and Cincinnati.

Clearly I am biased, but this game is so different than 2012 or December. So let's keep calm and trust Russ and Rick to get this done.
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