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Polls and Rankings with Major Inconsistency

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

As everyone has noticed, there are major inconsistencies in the polls and ratings. Below is a summary of the major polls and rankings (as of March 1, 2014) with some questions and observations further below.

Bracketology Seed AP USA Today RPI BPI Ken Pomeroy Sagarin Vegas Favorite Rank Vegas Odds (:1) Min Max
Arizona 1 3 3 2 1 1 1 4 10 1 4
Florida 1 1 1 3 2 6 8 1 5 1 8
Wichita St. 1 2 2 7 6 7 16 8 12 2 16
Syracuse 1 4 5 8 7 10 15 4 10 4 15
Creighton 2 9 10 6 10 5 6 9 20 5 10
Duke 2 6 7 9 4 3 2 4 10 2 9
Kansas 2 5 6 1 3 8 3 2 7 1 8
Wisconsin 2 14 14 5 11 11 7 12 25 5 14
Virginia 3 12 11 13 12 4 10 10 22 4 13
Michigan St. 3 18 18 15 14 15 9 3 8 3 18
Michigan 3 16 16 11 23 14 11 13 28 11 23
Villanova 3 8 9 4 9 9 5 10 22 4 10
San Diego St. 4 13 13 22 30 28 24 20 60 13 30
Iowa St. 4 15 17 10 13 23 14 15 35 10 23
St. Louis 4 10 8 18 25 25 29 15 35 8 29
Cincinnati 4 11 12 17 22 20 22 20 60 11 22
North Carolina 5 19 21 19 26 19 20 18 40 18 26
Louisville 5 7 4 27 5 2 4 4 10 2 27
UCLA 5 n/a n/a 20 16 16 18 19 50 16 20
Kentucky 5 17 17 14 8 18 17 8 12 8 18
Ohio St. 6 22 20 21 17 13 13 14 30 13 22
Texas 6 24 23 23 37 34 32 25 100 23 37
Massachusetts 6 n/a n/a 12 29 44 38 36 300 12 44
Iowa 6 20 19 36 18 12 12 15 35 12 36
Oklahoma 7 n/a n/a 25 28 31 27 25 100 25 31
Connecticut 7 n/a n/a 29 24 24 23 25 100 23 29
New Mexico 7 25 n/a 16 32 36 36 23 75 16 36
SMU 7 23 24 37 27 21 28 n/a n/a 21 37

1. How can Louisville be the #4 team in the Coaches Poll, yet a 5-seed in the Bracketology?

2. How can Ken Pomeroy's and Jeff Sagarin's computers rank Louisville #2 and #4, respectively, yet the RPI has Louisville at #27 (note: the NCAA committee uses RPI).

3. The RPI must be broken. Colorado and George Washington are rated higher in the RPI than Louisville.

4. How can UMass be #12 in the RPI, but #44 in Ken Pomeroy with 300:1 odds to win the championship.

5. Joe Lunardi has #1 overall seed Florida lined up to play #5 seed Louisville in the Sweet 16 in Memphis. Would Louisville be the favorite in that game? Is it possible for the #1 overall seed to be an underdog in a Sweet 16 game?

6. Sagarin's formula really doesn't like the last two undefeated teams (Wichita St. and Syracuse) rating them #16 and #15, respectively.

7. Vegas has their money on Louisville. Louisville is tied for the #4 overall favorite to win the title -- remember they are projected as a 5-seed.

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