Several of us touched upon this subject in the CWS reaction story but I thought this warranted its own post. The Louisville men's athletic programs are very much alive in the race for the 2012-13 Capital One Cup (COC) which awards the top overall athletic program (one for men's, one for women's) in a given academic year.
- Louisville currently sits tied for 7th with 66 points. Texas A&M is currently ranked 1st with 88 points thanks in large part to tying for first place with Florida this past weekend in the Men's Outdoor Track & Field Championship.
- Baseball is the final sport of the 2012-13 season. The results of the College World Series (CWS) in Omaha will absolutely dictate who is crowned COC champ.
- Scoring for said baseball is based on the final USA Today/ESPN top 25 poll and Capital One Cup points are awarded as follows. See Group B while noting that only teams finishing in the top ten receive points:
- Mathematically speaking there are only five teams left in the running for the 12-13 Men's Capital One Cup (current points in parenthesis):
- Texas A&M (88)
- Indiana (76)
- Louisville (66)
- North Carolina (36)
- UCLA (32)
- With Super Regionals finishing this evening leading up to the CWS you'll note that Texas A&M is the only one of these five squads who has no more points to score for baseball as they're out of the tournament. No other team left in the CWS other than the four mentioned can take the final top spot. North Carolina is currently in a rain delay with South Carolina and could be knocked out tonight.
- Indiana controls their own destiny for the COC going into the CWS.
WHAT NEEDS TO HAPPEN TO WIN THE CAPITAL ONE CUP:
- For UCLA: Win the CWS and get help from Indiana and Louisville. IU would have to finish 6th or worse and UofL 4th or worse in the final poll.
- For North Carolina: Win the CWS and get help from Indiana and Louisville. IU would have to finish 5th or worse and UofL 4th or worse in the final poll. In this scenario should UNC win the CWS and UofL finish 3rd the two would share the COC in a dead tie.
- For Texas A&M: None of the four teams left in the race win the the CWS and get help from Indiana and Louisville. IU would have to finish 8th or worse and UofL 5th or worse in the final poll. In this scenario should IU finish 7th the two would share the COC in a dead tie.
- While there are many other scenarios the three above can potentially be considered 'long shots'. If either Louisville or Indiana wins the CWS they're the COC champ, point blank. If either finishes the poll in the top three the worst either could do is tie for the COC title. And even that is assuming North Carolina advances tonight.
- Assuming human polls fall in line with the CWS (no guarantee, I know), Louisville can likely finish no lower than ranked 4th overall.
- UofL and IU will face off in game one of the CWS in a battle that could go a long way in determining the COC champ. While this is a double elimination tournament before the CWS finals, and ultimately a final poll is in human hands, this could be a de-facto elimination game for the Cup.
Gonna be fun. Go Cards...