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TeamRankings.com Predicts Louisville BET Champions

TeamRankings.com Predicts Louisville Victory in BET

2013 Big East tournament site: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY

2013 Big East tournament dates: March 12th-16th, 2013

In our most recent calculations, we project Louisville as the most likely winner of the 2013 Big East Championship, with projected Big East Championship win odds of 41.2%. The second most likely team to top the Big East bracket is Pittsburgh, with a 16.8% chance to win the Big East Championship in 2013.

As Of: R1
SeedTeamR2QuarterSemiChampWin
1.9 Louisville 100.00% 100.00% 82.96% 60.07% 41.16%
4.3 Pittsburgh 100.00% 97.75% 53.68% 32.88% 16.82%
5.0 Syracuse 100.00% 90.07% 48.20% 29.54% 15.80%
1.5 Georgetown 100.00% 100.00% 59.49% 23.95% 8.18%
2.7 Marquette 100.00% 100.00% 58.74% 21.52% 8.14%
5.7 Notre Dame 100.00% 80.61% 35.30% 12.81% 4.32%
8.9 Cincinnati 100.00% 64.95% 25.37% 9.72% 3.39%
9.6 St Johns 100.00% 49.07% 11.03% 3.08% 0.74%
8.1 Villanova 100.00% 42.43% 11.69% 3.21% 0.73%
7.3 Providence 100.00% 43.54% 8.06% 2.27% 0.56%
11.7 Seton Hall 60.68% 10.80% 2.06% 0.41% 0.07%
11.3 Rutgers 59.59% 11.25% 2.22% 0.37% 0.05%
13.1 S Florida 43.14% 4.45% 0.53% 0.10% 0.01%
13.9 DePaul 36.58% 5.08% 0.67% 0.07% 0.01%

NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of St Johns.
Second Round - home court of St Johns.
Quarterfinals - home court of St Johns.
Semifinals - home court of St Johns.
Championship Game - home court of St Johns.

The 2013 Big East tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2013 Big East tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big East tournament championship for every team in the 2013 Big East bracket.

Projected Conference Standings

Big EastCURRENTRATINGSPROJECTIONPLAYOFFS
Teamconf WLFuture SOSconf WLoverall WLWin ConfWin Tourn
Georgetown 13 3 12.9 14.0 4.0 24.0 5.0 73.1% 8.2%
Louisville 13 4 12.1 13.9 4.1 25.9 5.1 22.6% 41.2%
Marquette 13 4 4.2 13.7 4.3 22.7 7.3 4.3% 8.1%
Pittsburgh 11 6 0.8 11.9 6.1 23.9 7.1 0.0% 16.8%
Syracuse 10 6 7.0 11.5 6.5 23.5 7.5 0.0% 15.8%
Notre Dame 11 6 20.5 11.1 6.9 23.1 7.9 0.0% 4.3%
Connecticut 9 7 5.4 10.3 7.7 20.3 9.7 0.0% 0.0%
Villanova 9 8 13.1 9.5 8.5 18.5 12.5 0.0% 0.7%
Providence 9 8 10.1 9.3 8.7 17.3 12.7 0.0% 0.6%
Cincinnati 8 9 2.8 8.9 9.1 20.9 10.1 0.0% 3.4%
St Johns 8 9 13.2 8.3 9.7 16.3 13.7 0.0% 0.7%
Rutgers 4 13 5.0 4.3 13.7 13.3 15.7 0.0% 0.1%
Seton Hall 3 14 4.1 3.7 14.3 14.7 16.3 0.0% 0.1%
S Florida 2 14 11.2 2.5 15.5 11.5 18.5 0.0% 0.0%
DePaul 2 14 17.2 2.1 15.9 11.1 19.9 0.0% 0.0%

The 2013 Big East projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2013 Big East Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big East tournament.

A team's relative odds to win the 2013 Big East Championship depend only partly on their Big East bracket seed. Winning the Big East Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2013 Big East bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big East Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big East Championship championship than a team with a worse Big East tournament seed.

In addition, because Big East tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big East conference games, Big East tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big East bracket can have better odds to win the 2013 Big East Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big East bracket.

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