TeamRankings.com Predicts Louisville Victory in BET
2013 Big East tournament site: Madison Square Garden, New York City, NY
2013 Big East tournament dates: March 12th-16th, 2013
In our most recent calculations, we project Louisville as the most likely winner of the 2013 Big East Championship, with projected Big East Championship win odds of 41.2%. The second most likely team to top the Big East bracket is Pittsburgh, with a 16.8% chance to win the Big East Championship in 2013.
As Of: R1 |
Seed | Team | R2 | Quarter | Semi | Champ | Win |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.9 | Louisville | 100.00% | 100.00% | 82.96% | 60.07% | 41.16% |
4.3 | Pittsburgh | 100.00% | 97.75% | 53.68% | 32.88% | 16.82% |
5.0 | Syracuse | 100.00% | 90.07% | 48.20% | 29.54% | 15.80% |
1.5 | Georgetown | 100.00% | 100.00% | 59.49% | 23.95% | 8.18% |
2.7 | Marquette | 100.00% | 100.00% | 58.74% | 21.52% | 8.14% |
5.7 | Notre Dame | 100.00% | 80.61% | 35.30% | 12.81% | 4.32% |
8.9 | Cincinnati | 100.00% | 64.95% | 25.37% | 9.72% | 3.39% |
9.6 | St Johns | 100.00% | 49.07% | 11.03% | 3.08% | 0.74% |
8.1 | Villanova | 100.00% | 42.43% | 11.69% | 3.21% | 0.73% |
7.3 | Providence | 100.00% | 43.54% | 8.06% | 2.27% | 0.56% |
11.7 | Seton Hall | 60.68% | 10.80% | 2.06% | 0.41% | 0.07% |
11.3 | Rutgers | 59.59% | 11.25% | 2.22% | 0.37% | 0.05% |
13.1 | S Florida | 43.14% | 4.45% | 0.53% | 0.10% | 0.01% |
13.9 | DePaul | 36.58% | 5.08% | 0.67% | 0.07% | 0.01% |
NOTE: We use the structure below to calculate home advantage:
First Round - home court of St Johns.
Second Round - home court of St Johns.
Quarterfinals - home court of St Johns.
Semifinals - home court of St Johns.
Championship Game - home court of St Johns.
The 2013 Big East tournament bracket odds table above lists the round-by-round survival odds for every 2013 Big East tournament team. Using win odds calculations derived from our sophisticated power ratings, we analyze the likelihood and expected outcome of every possible path to the Big East tournament championship for every team in the 2013 Big East bracket.
Projected Conference Standings
Big East | CURRENT | RATINGS | PROJECTION | PLAYOFFS | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | conf W | L | Future SOS | conf W | L | overall W | L | Win Conf | Win Tourn |
Georgetown | 13 | 3 | 12.9 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 | 5.0 | 73.1% | 8.2% |
Louisville | 13 | 4 | 12.1 | 13.9 | 4.1 | 25.9 | 5.1 | 22.6% | 41.2% |
Marquette | 13 | 4 | 4.2 | 13.7 | 4.3 | 22.7 | 7.3 | 4.3% | 8.1% |
Pittsburgh | 11 | 6 | 0.8 | 11.9 | 6.1 | 23.9 | 7.1 | 0.0% | 16.8% |
Syracuse | 10 | 6 | 7.0 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 23.5 | 7.5 | 0.0% | 15.8% |
Notre Dame | 11 | 6 | 20.5 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 23.1 | 7.9 | 0.0% | 4.3% |
Connecticut | 9 | 7 | 5.4 | 10.3 | 7.7 | 20.3 | 9.7 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Villanova | 9 | 8 | 13.1 | 9.5 | 8.5 | 18.5 | 12.5 | 0.0% | 0.7% |
Providence | 9 | 8 | 10.1 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 17.3 | 12.7 | 0.0% | 0.6% |
Cincinnati | 8 | 9 | 2.8 | 8.9 | 9.1 | 20.9 | 10.1 | 0.0% | 3.4% |
St Johns | 8 | 9 | 13.2 | 8.3 | 9.7 | 16.3 | 13.7 | 0.0% | 0.7% |
Rutgers | 4 | 13 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 13.7 | 13.3 | 15.7 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Seton Hall | 3 | 14 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 14.3 | 14.7 | 16.3 | 0.0% | 0.1% |
S Florida | 2 | 14 | 11.2 | 2.5 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 18.5 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
DePaul | 2 | 14 | 17.2 | 2.1 | 15.9 | 11.1 | 19.9 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
The 2013 Big East projected standings help determine the seeds of the teams in the 2013 Big East Championship bracket. The remainder of the season is simulated a large number of times, and the resulting seeds are used to simulate the Big East tournament.
A team's relative odds to win the 2013 Big East Championship depend only partly on their Big East bracket seed. Winning the Big East Championship also depends on the dynamics of the 2013 Big East bracket. In some cases, the team with a better Big East Championship seed may actually face a harder path to the Big East Championship championship than a team with a worse Big East tournament seed.
In addition, because Big East tournament seeds are based on win-loss records in Big East conference games, Big East tournament seeds are not always the most accurate measure of a team's true performance level. This is another reason why higher seeded teams in the Big East bracket can have better odds to win the 2013 Big East Championship than lower seeded teams in the Big East bracket.