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The post where I predict the future: 2011 edition

Season-long college football predictions in August are worthless. Let's get that out there right away. Far too little is known and far too much has yet to happen for anyone to have any real grasp on what might take place in a November tilt between a pair of teams that have yet to take the field.

And yet, we do this every year. I don't know, I guess it's fun.

In the spirit of full disclosure, here are my year-by-year prediction results, beginning in 2006.

2006: PREDICTED: 11-1; ACTUAL: 11-1

2007: PREDICTED: 11-1; ACTUAL: 6-6

2008: PREDICTED: 6-6; ACTUAL: 5-7

2009: PREDICTED: 4-8; ACTUAL: 4-8

2010: PREDICTED: 5-7; ACTUAL: 6-6

GAME ONE: vs. MURRAY STATE

I don't care how glorious Pat Forde's hair is, there is no way a Charlie Strong-coached Louisville team loses its season-opener to a visiting OVC squad. There may be some tense moments, but they won't take place in the 4th quarter.

CC Prediction: Louisville 35, Murray State 13

GAME TWO: vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

Admittedly terrified about this game. I respect our guys enough to believe that they won't be looking ahead to Kentucky, I just don't think FIU is that much worse than we are in terms of talent. I'll be very surprised if the outcome of this one isn't still in doubt at least into the latter half of the third quarter.

CC Prediction: Louisville 31, Florida International 20

GAME THREE: AT KENTUCKY

I don't have the stomach to write any more than this. Proceed with your outraged comments.

CC Prediction: Kentucky 28, Louisville 24

GAME FOUR: vs. MARSHALL

Two weeks to prepare after a crushing loss to a hated-rival and the squad does what they have to do to get us back on the train.

CC Prediction: Louisville 34, Marshall 14

GAME FIVE: AT NORTH CAROLINA

A visit to a more talented team from a power conference that probably won't be able to match us from an effort standpoint; I keep saying this one playing out almost exactly like the Oregon State game a year ago.

CC Prediction: North Carolina 31, Louisville 28

GAME SIX: AT CINCINNATI

The Bearcats have to be the biggest mystery in the conference. On one hand, they've got a wealth of offensive talent. On the other, they appear to be right in the middle of getting Kragged Butched. Making Louisville their homecoming game and moving the game to Paul Brown Stadium were a pair of mistakes; there will be more Louisville fans in attendance than UC fans. A large part of me thinks we win this game, but I just can't pull the trigger.

CC PREDICTION: Cincinnati 34, Louisville 27

GAME SEVEN: vs. RUTGERS

The one Big East game where, at least on paper, the Cards seem to have a clear advantage. I think the Rutgers spiral back to total irrelevance continues and this game plays a part in it.

CC Prediction: Louisville 27, Rutgers 7

GAME EIGHT: vs. SYRACUSE

We're playing Syracuse in a sport.

CC Prediction: Louisville 20, Syracuse 17

GAME NINE: AT WEST VIRGINIA

Preliminary thoughts about a potential miracle run to a Big East title are dashed in Morgantown by a West Virginia team in the middle of proving it's once again the class of the conference. 

CC Prediction: West Virginia 30, Louisville 13

GAME TEN: vs. PITTSBURGH

The one game we all look back at and say we should have won once the year ends.

CC Prediction: Pittsburgh 14, Louisville 10

GAME ELEVEN: AT CONNECTICUT

Forever remembered as Teddy Bridgewater's coming out party. This is the game analysts consistently point to during the summer of 2012 when claiming Louisville as their dark-horse BCS team for the season ahead.

CC Prediction: Louisville 33, Connecticut 31

GAME TWELVE: AT SOUTH FLORIDA

We're playing USF in Tampa. The young guys get a lesson in humility after a big win the week before.

CC Prediction: South Florida 27, Louisville 14

FINAL RECORD: 6-6 (3-4)

Assuming this would be enough to get us back into the postseason for a second straight year, I think you have to consider this season a success. Losing to Kentucky for a fifth straight time would obviously be a downer, but certainly not enough to seriously detract from a bowl bid and another shot at a dance contest crown.

Regardless of how assuredly off-base these predictions end up being, it's equally certain that this will be another season of "play our balls off" football, and that's more than enough to be excited about.

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9-3

We go into Cincy 5-0, then take loses to Cincy, WVU, and South Florida. The worst I see this team going is 8-4, with a loss to that SEC team I will not mention. Our talent this year on offense is going to shine thru. U of L has a great receiving corp, including Chichester, 2 great running backs, and plenty of options at QB. Once we get the first few games out of the way, our young front line should be able to hold it’s own. BTW, I looked at UK’s roster the other day in the CJ, and I did not recognize one starter. Not one. I also want to say I don’t hate UK as nearly as much as I hate their fans!

by Weekend on Aug 30, 2011 4:21 PM EDT reply actions  

I like the optimism.

I’m just predicting a head-scratching loss.

Stout Out!

by tdstout on Aug 30, 2011 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree with this, as long as Bushell is the real deal (he is).

I was just telling someone yesterday that if we beat UK then we will be 5-0 heading to Cinci. Also, if UK doesn’t beat us this year they will never beat us again while Charlie is here,….. never.

by Chick-Stratino'sUrDaddy on Aug 30, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1

I’ve said this to every pUKe fan that wants to listen over the last few months.

by BirdsWithTeeth! on Aug 30, 2011 6:01 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

8 - 4

I think Mike is off on both Kentucky and Cincinnati… There. I said it.

Recall that I predicted 3 – 9 in Krapthorpe’s final season. If tradition holds, I’m one win short this year too.

"There is no OFF position to the genius switch" - D. Letterman

by GrogInOhio on Aug 30, 2011 4:22 PM EDT reply actions  

I can see 8-4

With the other wins coming over UK and Cinci. The cats are young also and we just cant lose 5 in a row. Cinci didnt get their K1N1 shots and are paying for it. Also, the only games I think we will be over matched are WVU and USF because we cant win in Tampa. I would also not be surprised if we take down UNC and Pitt.

~~~~~~~~
Go Cards!

by ULcardsfan502 on Aug 30, 2011 4:22 PM EDT reply actions  

Reasonable

If UC’s Krag-fall continues are prophetized.

by charliestrongmancrush.com on Aug 30, 2011 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think we win in Morgantown

Because I’m on crack. I think we finish 7-5. I hope there is some Belk involved.

by cardscott5 on Aug 30, 2011 4:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Did I miss the 5 o'clock free crack giveaway?

I’m thinkin 7-5 as well, hope Im wrong. GO CARDS! Do we crack at the end?

by Red n Black on Aug 30, 2011 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Gimme 7-5

Murray St. – W
FIU – W
UK – W
Marshall – W
UNC – L
Cincinnati – L
Rutgers – W
Syracuse – W
WVU – L
Pitt – L
UConn – W
USF – L

No worse than 5-7. No better than 9-3

by CardsRuleBE on Aug 30, 2011 4:32 PM EDT reply actions  

If they finish 9-3 (10-3) eith a bowl win

I will pee my pants and where them until next season.

by aaron Peck on Aug 30, 2011 5:17 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

The Schedule

Just want to add that in my view 5-7 would equal last year’s 6-6 because the road schedule is tough this year vs. last year. I don’t believe you can simply look at W-L and decide if a program is improving or not. 6-6 or better this year definitely means things are improving for the program.

by CardsRuleBE on Aug 30, 2011 4:43 PM EDT reply actions  

UK

It’s a road game, but pretty much everything else favors Louisville, I think. Who beat us last year? Cobb & Hartline. Both gone. They will have – at best – an average offense. Our defense will be solid and will shut them down. They have a couple of solid players on defense, but nothing special as a unit. We can and will score on them. Their homefield advantage evens it up a bit more, but I still like a Louisville win by 3-7 points.

by CardsRuleBE on Aug 30, 2011 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I like playing UK

3rd game instead of 1st. I know others have their reasons for liking it as the 1st game, but this year being 3rd favors us with the young team we have. Hopefully, Mario will be back at Center and the OL will have found their sea legs and be solid. I also think the extra 2 games before UK help with the CB situation.

by CardsRuleBE on Aug 30, 2011 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

12-0.

You laugh now, but we’ll so who’s laughing in December.

Probably still you.

by CARD_G6 on Aug 30, 2011 6:05 PM EDT reply actions  

7-5

is certainly achievable. I honestly dont see us going 6-6 we are a way better squad than last year in my opinion.

UL Football Fan/UK Basketball Fan ~ Okinawa, Japan

by The White Mandingo on Aug 30, 2011 7:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Alot of our professors make us stand up

And introduce ourselves to the class and say something about ourselves blah blah, this year I’ve had a decent array of football players in my classes and after they say what they’re here for there’s always the inevitable, “how good are you all going to be?” From someqone in the room. So far ever single time they have said with complete confidence that they WILL win more games than last year.

I have limited opinion on the feasibility. Just sharing that with you all.

by James Sutherland on Aug 30, 2011 9:41 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

I don't see this UK offense

scoring anything like 28 against this Louisville defense. Their offense will be worse and our defense better. They might still win, but not by scoring 4 TD’s. Word.

by CardsRuleBE on Aug 30, 2011 10:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

too funny not to rec

"...and the present, for us, is something that we really look forward to."
- Rick Pitino

by rickmbari on Aug 31, 2011 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Come one dude, another 6-6 prediction?

This team is going to revel in their freedom…hell, we got freshman who are starting in droves! But remember, Charlie’s first class recently bragged thay they are going to be his best recruiting class ever. And they’re sophomores. We got some badass talent competing against each other for the privilege and honor of being starters for one Charlie Strong, Head Coach. 9-3 regular season. And win our bowl game to boot.

Go Cards!

by Red Rage on Aug 30, 2011 11:31 PM EDT reply actions  

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