FanPost

Louisville vs. Kentucky: Breaking Down the Big 4

With the big game just hours away, I took to twitter to see who people thought the most important Card scoring wise was. I think it's Peyton Siva. A couple of people said Gorgui Dieng. Another said Kyle Kuric. Yet another said Chris Smith. The Cards spread the ball around a lot and all of those people make good cases for why that guy is the most important scorer. For this post, I have broken down the made shots, and only made, from the Georgetown game Wednesday.

1dieng1halfcourt_png_medium

First bucket of the game goes to Dieng. The scorer is in red, assist man in white. As you can see, Chris came on a drive. Dieng slipped behind the defense for a lob.

2kuric1break_png_medium

This bucket comes in transition. Once again Smith sets up someone, this time Kuric from the corner. Of course it's good.

3kuric2halfcourt_png_medium

This bucket comes for Kuric again on a simple pass. The man in yellow is highlighted because he's in the air off a killer ball fake. It was a 3.

4smith1hc_png_medium

Smith this time is the recipient of a Siva drive and dish. You can see the 4 Hoyas in the paint.

5siva1hc_png_medium

After 2 assists, Siva goes strong on a drive after a Dieng screen lets him blow by. That layup made the score 14-5.

6kuric3offreb_png_medium

None of 4 scored for a while, and as you can see, Georgetown cut the lead to 2. This bucket came off an offensive rebound. If you remember, Kuric saved to Russ, who drove and kicked back to a wide open Kuric.

7siva2hc_png_medium

Once again Siva burns the Hoyas on a screen from Buckles. The big man in the lane is flat footed and has no chance. Siva got off another crazy layup.

8kuric4hc_png_medium

The 4 don't score a FG for a long time. As you can see, the Hoyas took the lead. Kuric gets a look right in front of Rick Pitino from Dieng.

9siva3trans_png_medium

Seconds later UofL forces a steal. Siva makes a Euro-step between the defenders and scores a layup.

10dieng2hc_png_medium

Once again Siva makes something happen. Dieng gets a dunk.

11siva4or_medium

This comes off a tipped out offensive rebound. As you can see, Siva is nearly on the ground when he puts the ball up. Kind of sick.

12kurichc_png_medium

None of the featured guys score for 5 minutes and the Cards score 2 points. Kuric drills a 3 off a hand off from Dieng.

13sivahc_png_medium

Dieng is circled not because of an assist, but because of a killer screen. Siva ran the ball up the court, jumped into the Hoya big man and ended up with that fancy looking shot. It was a man's move.

14diengtran_png_medium

The final shot comes off a Georgetown miss. Siva pushed the pace and dropped to Dieng. He went up for a dunk and the guy at the foul line got called for a goal tend.

For a final tally of how they got their FGs, we have

Halfcourt buckets - 8 of 14.

Transition - 4 of 14.

Offensive rebound - 2 of 14.

Off assists - 9 of 14.

Off screens - 3 of 14

Now what does this tell us? Well 1 game isn't a great example, but we can tell a number of things. First off, half of the shots see the person who ends up shooting catching the ball and squaring up. I counted the last Dieng shot in this. The Cards don't run many plays in the post. If you look at the play by play, many of Dieng's shots are jumpers. Kuric primarily goes wing to wing, same with Chris Smith. Louisville relies a lot on screens, especially Siva. The other 7 FGs came off 5 Siva drives, 1 alley oop and a Kuric shot fake. Siva had a particularly strong offensive game. He assisted on many of those shots and he got to the foul line 6 times, making 5.

I see 3 problems for the Kentucky game.

1) Siva does everything off the dribble.

A lot of guards do this, but Siva almost exclusively gets his points and assists off the dribble. He is in his head about his 3 ball and will pass up open looks. If the Cats keep him from going to the line and driving, I don't know how great a chance the Cards have. That said, Siva is very quick and picks his spots well. Vandy knew he was driving and he got the game winning shot anyway.

2) Offensive rebounding .

Gorgui is a pretty solid rebounder, but he was pretty much a non-factor on the offensive glass against the Hoyas. He drew a foul on 1 rebound and the other 2 were on the possession featuring the crazy Siva layup. Chane got 3 offensive rebounds as well against the Hoyas, but like Dieng, he had only got 2 points from them. Unlike Dieing, he went up with all 3, only getting a dunk. The guys are going to have to get stick backs on the misses. If they can't get those, they have to keep possessions alive. The Cards kill off of 3 on offensive boards.

3) Forced shots.

For the most part, the Cards don't force up a ton of shots

Roflbot_medium_medium

But as we saw at the end of the Georgetown game, when guys think the Cards need a basket, they put the ball up. Kuric normally doesn't force that many shots, but he did late. Chris Smith just took horrible looking shots all day. With a team like UK, you can't throw up wild shots, because like the Cards do to people, you get hammered in transition.

All in all, I'm pretty confident about the game tomorrow. For this 1 reason, f--- Kentucky.

Go Cards.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Card Chronicle

You must be a member of Card Chronicle to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Card Chronicle. You should read them.

Join Card Chronicle

You must be a member of Card Chronicle to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Card Chronicle. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker