FanPost

Man versus the elements in the Belk Bowl

Tomorrow night I will probably experience why the 300-level club seats are more expensive than the 100-level seats behind the Cardinal bench.

The latest forecast from TWC calls for the rain to stop between noon and 3 PM. The temperature at game time will be in the low 40s, with winds WSW at 15-25 mph. That puts the wind chill somewhere around 32 at kickoff, and getting colder through the night. The National Weather Service has the rain ending closer to game time, with lower winds, and slightly higher temperatures, but still cold and windy. I predict that my "Fear The Bird" T-shirt will not be seen at the game. It will be hidden under a red UofL sweatshirt which will also not be seen under a reasonably heavy black coat.

But more important than the weather's impact on my comfort or attire is the question of how it will affect the game. I'd think it would hamper the quarterbacks' accuracy, thus favoring a running game over a passing game.

Statistically, our rushing game looks better than theirs and so does our rush defense. We've averaged 3.39 yards per carry and given up only 3.05; the Wolfpack has allowed 3.76 while averaging 3.09.

Turning to the air game, we've got a slightly higher pass rating than they do, but our opponents' rating has been significantly higher than their opponents' - largely because NC State's defense has collected 24 interceptions to Louisville's 9.

I think between the weather and NC State's prowess at defending passes, Charlie will opt to focus the Cardinal offense on a run-oriented game; and I think weather that favors the running game gives the Cardinals an edge over an NC State team that is more reliant on the pass. What do you think?

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