Louisville's remaining schedule per the RPI
by UL is my hot hot sex on Jan 24, 2011 4:04 PM EST
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PrintGraphic below borrowed from RealTimeRPI.com:
| Men's Basketball - Team RPIs (2010-2011) |
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Only games against Division I opponents are counted. |
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| View Power Ratings View Real Time RPIsvip | |
| Rank | School | W-L | RPI | SOS Rank |
SOS | Conf. | Conf. W-L |
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1 | Brigham Young | 18-1 | 0.6756 | 20 | 0.5854 | Mwest | 5-0 |
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2 | Kansas | 18-1 | 0.6745 | 14 | 0.5941 | Big12 | 3-1 |
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3 | Connecticut | 16-2 | 0.6729 | 15 | 0.5932 | Bige | 4-2 |
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4 | San Diego St. | 18-0 | 0.6727 | 41 | 0.5636 | Mwest | 5-0 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 19-1 | 0.6696 | 26 | 0.5803 | Bige | 7-0 | |
| 6 | Ohio St. | 20-0 | 0.6623 | 54 | 0.5497 | Big10 | 7-0 | |
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7 | Syracuse | 18-2 | 0.6574 | 19 | 0.5860 | Bige | 5-2 |
| 8 | Georgetown | 14-5 | 0.6563 | 4 | 0.6279 | Bige | 3-4 | |
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9 | Villanova | 17-2 | 0.6560 | 30 | 0.5743 | Bige | 5-1 |
| 10 | Duke | 18-1 | 0.6500 | 59 | 0.5463 | Acc | 5-1 | |
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11 | Notre Dame | 16-4 | 0.6464 | 12 | 0.5972 | Bige | 5-3 |
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12 | Purdue | 17-3 | 0.6448 | 33 | 0.5711 | Big10 | 6-1 |
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13 | Kentucky | 15-4 | 0.6428 | 21 | 0.5844 | Sec | 3-2 |
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14 | West Virginia | 13-5 | 0.6350 | 6 | 0.6116 | Bige | 4-2 |
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15 | Texas | 16-3 | 0.6343 | 28 | 0.5757 | Big12 | 4-0 |
Louisville is currently ranked #39 in the RPI (Ratings Percentage Index), a tool used by the NCAA Tournament Selection Committee (AKA "Friends of Joey Brackets") to determine seeding. Over the next 41 days, U of L plays WVU (#14) twice, UConn (#3) twice plus at Georgetown (#8), at Notre Dame (#11), home vs. Syracuse (#7) and home vs. Pittsburgh (#5).
That means eight of U of L's twelve remaining regular season games are against RPI Top 15 teams. The other four remaining conference games are home vs. DePaul (#219), at Cincinnati (#38), at Rutgers (#101), and Senior Night at home vs. Providence (#103).
According to the RPI, Louisville has just three wins over teams currently in the RPI Top 50: at home vs. St. John's (#24), at home vs. UNLV (#30) and at home vs. Butler (#40). The next highest RPI win was at home over Marquette, ranked #61.
Louisville's four losses, using RPI rankings, were at Villanova (#9), at home vs. Kentucky (#13), at home vs. Drexel (#64) and at Providence (#103).
The heroes that run RealTimeRPI.com are predicting Louisville to finish 22-9 (11-7), which would surely be enough to solidify an NCAA Tournament bid. This predictor includes upsets over WVU at home, Pitt at home and UConn at home.
So what does all this mean? Clearly, the KFC Yum! Center is our basketball team's beef helmet.
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RPI
a tool used by the NCAA Tournament committee to determine seeding
when it feels like it. Otherwise, if you’re Missouri State or something, please take your #21 RPI to the NIT and shut up.
Haha, oftentimes it's a reference used to justify the inclusion of teams
but it seems like more small conf teams have been screwed with both seeding & inclusion when compared to their RPI ranking.
I saw an interesting (to me) discrepancy today when looking at the college basketball betting lines/spreads. Pitt is an 11 point favorite at home to Notre Dame tonight. Both teams are ranked inside the Top 15 in both major polls and in the RPI. RPI has ND at 13 but kenpom.com has Notre Dame ranked 32nd (Pitt is #4 via kenpom compared to RPI, who has them #5).
Interestingly, both the RPI & kenpom predictors have Pitt winning by 11 points, despite the staunch difference between each team’s ranking according to both sites’ respective team ranking formulas. Of course Pitt is one of the few 1st tier teams this year while Notre Dame sits amongst a much larger 2nd tier. And of course, Pitt is undefeated at home (13-0) while Notre Dame hasn’t won on the road (0-3).
I’m guessing the discrepancy between the RPI & kenpom is an SOS issue or something obvious that someone will point out below.
by UL is my hot hot sex on Jan 24, 2011 5:39 PM EST up reply actions
PRI is tempo-free
Kenpom is all about tempo.
(Kenpom is much more accurate in predictions as well, so apparently how you play is more important that results of who you play.)
by Remote Cardinal on Jan 24, 2011 7:04 PM EST up reply actions
ahh yes, thanks
I knew there was a simple explanation, I was too distracted to dive [further] into it earlier this afternoon.
FWIW, kenpom has Louisville at #15 while RPI lists Louisville at #39. So a simple-minded person like myself would say that kenpom favors teams who play up-tempo. Or teams who have success with up-tempo styles against decent-to-marginal teams ranging from UNLV/Marquette to Gardner Webb/Chattanooga.
by UL is my hot hot sex on Jan 24, 2011 7:12 PM EST up reply actions
12-7 Maryland (#22) and Wisconsin (#8) would have to disagree...
It’s not so much about up-tempo; it’s about teams that enforce a preferred tempo and win the points per possession battle. Louisville is ranked high because of our disruptive defense and solid effective FG%. According to kenpom, we are the 48th fastest tempo in the country (3rd fastest in the BE, behind Providence and Depaul).
I’m a big kenpom fan, he uses all math and gets pretty accurate results; something very hard to do in a game like college basketball.
by Remote Cardinal on Jan 25, 2011 11:11 AM EST up reply actions
Thanks, I'm obvs not a math guy
That’s what I meant by “simple-minded”, implying that I’ve only used these predictor sites for their entertainment value and have only a layman’s understanding of how they “work”.
by UL is my hot hot sex on Jan 25, 2011 1:51 PM EST up reply actions
RPI Measurement flaw
When the NCAA rolls around they always look at how you did against the “top 50”. Some people have 5 games against 45-50, and others have 5 games against 5-10. I think they need to break it up to games against top 25, and top 50.
Saying games against “top 50” is not fair comparison in the Big East with so many in the top 15.
For us to win 7 more games
would take require devine intervention.
by RB in Bardstown on Jan 24, 2011 8:59 PM EST reply actions
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