Does anyone else feel like this team is destined for the 8/9 match-up?
(Note – all RPI and SOS numbers are referenced from realtimerpi.com)
I’m wondering what our ceiling is this year, with regards to NCAA seeding. I tend to think that we can still reach a 5, if we win the BET. Just speculating, but that would mean victories over Cinci, WVU, Nova, and Cuse/Pitt. If people feel comfortable that we’re at about an 8/9 right now, I think each win after the Cinci game (this assumes a win tonight) would move us up a full seed. Although we have a significant edge in SOS, we just lack the quality wins of teams we’d be competing against for a 6/7 seed.
We’re basically riding two wins over Cuse, which is still very impressive, but we lack top 50 wins. If UConn had gotten their $hit together, that would have given us two more, and maybe we’re be more comparable. Or if we had held on against Pitt (that also would mean we’d be sitting with a double-bye right now). But we beat a lot of teams between 50-75 (UConn, ND, Cinci, USF).
ACC – Clemson (27), Wake (33), FSU (35), GTech (44), VaTech (50)
Big 12 – Texas (26), Okie St (28), Mizzou (39)
Others – Gonzaga (37), Xavier (21), BYU (23), Richmond (24)
Looking at the numbers, how is Ohio St in the running for a 2 seed, with some saying an outside shot at a 1 seed? Their RPI is 30 with SOS 67.
On another note, does anyone else think we should add one more marquee game to the schedule? While our schedule is certainly tough, its essentially due to two things: playing in the BE (the worst SOS of all BE teams is 56, and 12 teams have SOS better than 33), and not playing really $hitty teams OOC. We play a lot of teams in the top 150 (only 2 teams rated worse than 175, if you don’t count DePaul), but we don’t play any “marquee” OOC games outside of UK. I’d prefer that we schedule a Mich St, Texas, or Butler and a 250 type team in place of two teams rated about 150. The change to SOS would be negligible, but it would give us another opportunity for a top 25 win. And RPI really rewards those types of wins, without much punishment if you lose it.