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--Spread check: Pittsburgh by 3.

--Jamie Dixon never wavered in his belief that this Pitt team was going to win and win big.

Jamie Dixon is one stubborn man.

Pitt's basketball coach lost four starters from his 31-5 team that was a basket away from making the Final Four last season. Among those leaving were two of the best players in school history, NBA draft picks DeJuan Blair and Sam Young. Yet Dixon insisted his Panthers could win even after they were picked to finish ninth in the brutal Big East.

For nearly a month, there was little to suggest Dixon should be so optimistic. A team that was obviously trying to find itself narrowly beat Wofford and Duquesne and lost to rebuilding Indiana.

Still, Dixon wouldn't budge. He expected his Panthers to play like the teams that averaged 28 victories over the previous four seasons, with no excuses.

"We've been winners, we've got players who've always been winners and we're going to be winners," Dixon said.

Here's the surprise: The No. 16 Panthers (14-2, 4-0 in Big East) are playing every bit as well as their coach expected. They're going into Saturday afternoon's game against Louisville (12-5, 3-1) on a seven-game winning streak that includes consecutive road victories over No. 5 Syracuse, Cincinnati and No. 15 Connecticut.

--The Peterson Events Center has been the toughest place in the Big East to play during the Dixon era...for everyone outside of Louisville. Not only are the Cards the only team to win there more than once, they're 2-0 against the Panthers in the Steel City.

The Petersen Events Center has been a tough venue for any visitor over the years, however. Pitt (14-2, 4-0 Big East) has won 92.5 percent of its home games since the building opened in 2002-03, the fifth-highest percentage in the country.

It's also won 30 in a row at home, tied for the second-longest streak in the nation, by an average of 17.9 points. That includes 12 straight in Big East play by 14.7 per game since Louisville (12-5, 3-1) visited on Feb. 24, 2008.

The Cardinals won 75-73 behind 18 points from Edgar Sosa, running their record in Pitt's new facility to 2-0. No other visitor has won there more than once.

"Pitt is playing the best basketball along with (No. 4) Villanova in the Big East and they present a number of problems," Louisville coach Rick Pitino said. "Certainly we have a big mountain to climb."

While the Cardinals have fallen out of the AP poll after opening the season ranked 19th, the Panthers didn't get a single vote as recently as Dec. 28 but have turned into one of the nation's hottest teams.

"I know other people may look at us differently and where we're picked," coach Jamie Dixon said. "But I believe any team that commits to one another and commits to playing together can be as good as they want to be."

--One of the biggest keys to Pitt's surprisingly hot league start has been the play of Ashton Gibbs, who, after scoring just over four points per game a year ago as a freshman, is averaging 21.3 ppg over four Big East contests and hasn't scored any less than 19.

"After the first couple individual workouts, we knew," Gibbs said. "We knew we'd have to step up. We knew Levance, Sam and DeJuan weren't here anymore. Levance did a great job leading the team, but he helped prepare us guys to step up. They taught us a lot."

Gibbs' play helped Pitt deal with the early season absences of its two most experienced players. Senior guard Jermaine Dixon missed eight games due to a broken foot, while junior forward Gilbert Brown had to sit out the first 11 games of the season as a result of academic issues.

Gibbs' 17.5 points per game rank eighth in the Big East. He's third in the Big East with just over two 3-pointers per game. His scoring prowess isn't something new. It's not something he learned last summer either. Gibbs, a native of Scotch Plains, N.J., attended Seton Hall Prep. He broke the school's 34-year-old career scoring record, finishing his career with 1,882 points. He averaged 28.1 points per game in his senior year.

Even though he came off the bench as a freshman, Gibbs still led the Big East in 3-point field-goal accuracy last season, making 44 percent of his attempts. He's made 37.2 percent of his 3-pointers this season, but he also leads the Big East with a 93.8 free throw percentage.

--Doubting Jamie Dixon is unwise.

--Louisville/Pitt is part of what is a huge weekend in the Big East.

The Big East's four highest-ranked teams -- No. 4 Villanova, No. 5 Syracuse, No. 10 West Virginia and No. 11 Georgetown -- are meeting this weekend in a pair of games that will help shape the league race and offer a possible preview of the conference tournament semifinals. In hindsight, it's hilarious that this was projected as a "down" year for the league. Nothing down about it at all.

Let's do the Friday Look Ahead ...

Best game of the weekend:Most experts have concluded either Syracuse or West Virginia will win the Big East. Of course, Villanova will probably have something to say about that. But assuming the experts are correct, Saturday's game between the Orange and Mountaineers could decide the league champion. This is the lone regular-season meeting scheduled between Jim Boeheim and Bob Huggins.

--Pitt is the talk of the entire league right now.

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Yep. The Big East is definitely in a down year.

Only 6 teams in the top 25. 3 in the top 10 and 5 in the top 15.

by CardinalDude on Jan 15, 2010 8:52 PM EST reply actions  

We continued our winning spree

last year with a win over #1 ranked Pitt against most odds. Praying for a repeat!

by REALISTICCARDSFAN on Jan 15, 2010 9:41 PM EST reply actions  

Big game?

I don’t know. I mean, maybe just because of the timing. But this is a top 15 team that is currently on a tear, at their place, and only our 5th Big East game. If we get blown out, maybe that destroys the team’s confidence and we limp to the end of the season and end up missing the tournament. How weird would games in Freedom Hall be during the NIT?

Our last two losses have not exactly been bad. UK is really freaking good. Nova is a top 4 team, and we were better than them Monday night….except for Reynolds. Seriously, is another team going to have a guy score 36 points on 9-10 (5-5, 13-17) against us again this decade? Will any game any of us ever witness feature as many fouls and free throws? And against UK, we managed to get a lead despite shooting 1-25 in the first 16 minutes of the game or whatever. What happened? Wall took over, and we lost.

So those are two tough losses, but by no means bad. Maybe our national talking heads margin is slim because of Western Carolina and Charlotte, but we know our team was not at full strength then, and we aren’t even at full strength yet.

We are not a good shooting team. Last year, we overcame that with defense, and some lucky bounces. At Nova, we shot 2-25 from 3 and needed a T-Will finger roll that hit all 360 degree marks on the rim, Nova missed free throws and multiple Nova missed tip-ins at the buzzer. We lose that game, how differently does the next month or so go?

Our defense and rebounding have gotten much, much better this year. When a guy does what Reynolds did to us (and Wall), you just have to admit you were beat by a better guy that night. So what is this team missing? We are missing that guy. Last year it was T-Will, the year before it was DP. Sosa played the part early, and PK can pick up the scoring slack, but Smith, Sosa, and PK all turned the ball over inexplicably at half court, leading to 6 (or 7?) Nova fast break points, that ended up being the difference.

Sosa and Smith need to take over late in games. UNLV, UK, Nova – we were in these games late and needed a T-Will, DP or Earl, and no one stepped up. I don’t think mid-January is too late for someone to step up. Ellis Myles was having a crappy senior season until about mid-way through conference play, and something happened, he turned it on and we made the final four.

I’m not saying that can happen this year, but the point is that the season is not over, even if we lose Saturday. Lots of basketball left to be played, the defense is better than it was a month ago, our best players are getting healthier, our guys play hard, SS still has a lot of room to grow, Siva has shown flashes, and a good Big East record is reasonably likely.

The ball has not bounced our way this year yet. If this team can put it all together, they can still make a run. Even if it doesn’t start until next week.

by CardsFan922 on Jan 15, 2010 9:52 PM EST reply actions  

I wouldn't say this is a big game

but it’s a kinda big game. We need to get a win over one of the top teams in the conference. So far, we beat Providence and 2 of 3 teams in the league. I would rather be in our position than Marquette’s. Although 2 of their 3 conference losses are against Nova. The season is definitely not ending or blossoming due to tomorrows game, but it screams ‘this is the game where the season turned.’ Our best win is against….Providence? South Florida? Western? One thing is for sure, if we win people will breathe a sigh of relief and believe more in the team. If we lose, the hand wringing that started with losses to Charlotte and Western Carolina will increase. Yeah we were injured those games, but damn the more they lose the worse those losses look. Especially Charlotte, who has lost to every good team they played besides us. 40 point loss to Duke, 30 point loss to Old Dominion, 16 to Tennessee, 12 to Xavier, 9 to Georgia Tech. That is the loss that keeps hurting

by cardscott5 on Jan 16, 2010 12:28 AM EST up reply actions  

And I might add that I hope it doesn't work out for him tomorrow.

But you could count me among the preseason doubters. I don’t know if they have the talent to sustain this throughout the Big East and into the NCAAs, but those league road wins are awfully impressive.

by cardsinindy2010 on Jan 15, 2010 11:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Goddamn Pacific Time

I have work tomorrow and this game tips at 9 am out here. I’m getting tired of missing Cardinals games because of work. Can’t wait to move back east next year.

by Chris Redman is my hero on Jan 16, 2010 3:31 AM EST reply actions  

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