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Official Game Prediction Thread


I'll start this off with the easiest prediction: at some point on Saturday, Scott Long will be overthrown and thisclosejustbarelyalmost catch it.  Also, I will be strangely nervous and hopeful from about 11 AM until about 5 minutes into the game, at which point I will either turn into the 2006 game watching CardsFan922 (every play matters!) or the 2007-2008 game watching CardsFan922 (gallows humor and self-protecting indifference).  I know that much is true.

On an intellectual level, I don't see how we can pull this one out.  UK's defense, while not as good as last year, is still the better of their two units.  Their defensive line is solid and our offensive line wasn't exactly blowing ISU's doors off last week to open holes for Vic and Powell.  Burke made some nice passes in the 2nd half, but if he was a little too hyped up to hit wide-open guys in the first quarter at home against a high school team, something tells me starting on the road, in his hometown, on national television....let's just say the kid has a right to be nervous. And who will stop Randall Cobb and/or Chris Matthews?

There's not much I have to say about this game that Mike won't cover or hasn't covered all week.  For us to win, the following things have to happen:

1) Vic Anderson rushes for more than 85 yards and Vic/Powell/Ashley combine for at least 100 yards total.  

2) We have a +3 or better turnover margin, including a TAINT or other defensive / special teams points. 

3) We have a +3 or sack margin.

4) Somehow stop Cobb and Matthews from going off - combination of defensive pressure + the dozens of new players in the secondary holding their own + stopping the run game with just the D-line + pressure on Hartline (see above).

Of the four, I think stopping Cobb and Matthews will be the hardest, if not most impossible, task.  I think we'll score an offensive touchdown in this year's game (I just threw up in my mouth) and I think Burke/Froman and Long will hook up for some big gains.  But I just don't see us winning a shoot-out or a 10-7 defensive struggle. 

Official predictions....after the jump....

Star-divide

 

Final Score:  Kentucky 38 - 21 Louisville

Anderson / Total Rush Yards:  54 / 95

Kentucky Rushing Yards:  127

Scott Long:  1 TD

Best UofL Defensive Game: Johnny Patrick

Biggest Hit: Brandon Heath

Biggest Boneheaded Krag Call:  Fake punt or going for it on 4th down and medium, up 3-0, midway through first quarter, on our own 24 yard line.  Resulting in turnover on downs, UK 1-play, 22 yard scoring drive for a touchdown. 

First Appearance By Adam FromanFirst offensive possession of 2nd quarter (and no more Burke after that).

Rock KeysSadly, no.

Glimmer of Hope On Which To Hang Hat:  Preston Pace plays reasonably well.

Most Run Commercial:  Gold into Cash, and/or 5 awkward Billy Mays commercials (we are on ESPNU, remember).

 

Everyone feel free to make their own predictions according to these categories, or come up with your own.  The CardChronicle staff will assign points/weights to each category, judge the winner on Sunday, and then come over to the winner's house to fully cater a 3-course dinner for a party of 6-10, pants optional.  CardChronicle staff reserves the right to not actually do this.

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Here we go

Anderson : 115 rushing yds, 1 td
Long : 4 receptions, 2 for 25+ yards, 1 td
1 more rushing td’s
Philpot makes 38 yd fg
UofL 24 KY 34

Go Cards!

by Red Rage on Sep 18, 2009 10:21 AM EDT reply actions  

I like

That you still put our score first.

by Mike Rutherford on Sep 18, 2009 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

got to brother

But, I am still holding out a glimmer of hope that my KY score is too high……….

Go Cards!

by Red Rage on Sep 18, 2009 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Let's get it

28-27 Cards
Krag drinks a 40 oz. Colt 45 out of the Governor’s Cup on the 50-yard line of Commonwealth.

Who says you can’t dream?

by TKE1191ax on Sep 18, 2009 10:26 AM EDT reply actions  

and then grows a "line beard" and sports a flat hat in the next game

UL 23 – 17 UK
Vic – 155yds, 2tds
Long – 5 for 85
Beaumont gets in the endzone…
We will go for two and miss…
Barefoot kicker hits a 24yd FG

by CardChakra on Sep 18, 2009 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Eternal Optimist

UofL – 35
UK – 24

Vic – 125 yds 2 TDs
Suasage King – 200 yds passing 2 TDs
Burke – 75 yds
1 Punt return for TD

I’m really interested to see Froman, in the video game he’s awesome! haha

by JohnnyCards on Sep 18, 2009 10:29 AM EDT reply actions  

No so optimistic

UofL 13, Yewakay 34

Prediction: Anderson will get 4 screen passes until UofK finally jumps on one and returns it for a TD. Then Kragthorpe tries to run on option attack with Froman.
UofK pics us off a total of 3 times and forces one fumble.
We have 2 INTs, one of which sets us up for a FG.
Doug Beaumont finally gets his first TD on a slant route over the middle.

And yes, Froman is awesome in the video game.

DocCardsFan
The 'Ville, KY

by DocCardsFan on Sep 18, 2009 10:54 AM EDT reply actions  

We will be lucky to score

and the game will be just another chapter in the continuing embarrassment that Kragthrope is foisting off on our university, our community and our once-established program. Hope to all-get-out that I’m wrong.

theoldman

by theoldman on Sep 18, 2009 11:18 AM EDT reply actions  

Screw it

UL 28 UK 25

Vic- 153 yds 1 TD
Powell- 37 yds 1 TD
Bruke- 108 yds 1 TD
and 1 Johnny Patrick Pick 6

by whitacreky on Sep 18, 2009 11:40 AM EDT reply actions  

My Unavoidable Prediction

Undoubtedly, starting tonight and carrying into the start of the game, my confidence will build (it is at 0 right now, it will probably hit 10 [out of 100] by kickoff) slowly. I will start to think that maybe The Krag isn’t the incompetent coach I have led myself to believe he is. Perhaps he has a great gameplan, and perhaps the past 2 years have been a fluke for this “offensive genius”. This will lead me to exclaim to all UK fans around me that “UofL will win by 2 touchdowns at least”…At some point around the 2nd Quarter, after several bad penalties and 0 3rd Down conversions, I will change all of this. I will go from happy and confident to depressed.

UK – 41
UofL – 17

by Luke Whitehead's Rap Career on Sep 18, 2009 11:57 AM EDT reply actions  

bad news

couldn’t agree more with the oldman…we look so much slower on offense and i don’t think burke will complete a pass that is thrown further than 15 yds from line of scrimage….screen passes will get snuffed out and they will put 8-9 in the box. This could get ugly

35-6 uk- Our only td will be with 1:30 left and kragthorpe will emphatically hold up a No.2 like the touchdown means something and we must go for two to stay in the game.

Then I will Snap

Jesus, I never throught I would type that.

by Dan99 on Sep 18, 2009 12:25 PM EDT reply actions  

Kraggy Farewell Tour - Stop #2: Lexington, KY

UofL 3
UK 45

Unfurrow your brow, brother. I don’t wish this to happen, but what good would come of lying to myself in this game prediction. If this happens to hasten the conclusion that I so wish for, the departure of our inept Koach, then I can derive some hope from it.

by sarasota-card on Sep 18, 2009 12:43 PM EDT reply actions  

UK 38 UL 17

Kragthorpe calls Billy G for support after the game…..

First time I shot her, shot her in the side.
Hard to watch her suffer, but with the second shot she died...

by btcoop71 on Sep 18, 2009 12:52 PM EDT reply actions  

wow Frank. That’s rough.

DocCardsFan
The 'Ville, KY

by DocCardsFan on Sep 18, 2009 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah...it IS rough

i hope i’m not right, but…

by frankpos on Sep 18, 2009 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

UK 31
UL 10

Vic gets our lone touchdown after putting up 75+ yards, while Bilal Powell converts a few short yardage third downs on his way to ~40 yards. Darius Ashley doesn’t see the field again and requests a transfer.

Burke completes several short passes on second down, giving him a respectable numbers of 18-29 for 134 yards, but can’t get it into the endzone, throws two INTs, and can never seem to find anyone open on 3rd down.

We go for it on 4th and short twice inside the UK 40 only to be stopped both times, sending Chris Philpott onto the field the third time, where he pushes it wide right.

Barefoot McGee gets the lone FG after we get stopped inside the 10 yard line.

The score is a respectable 14-7 at halftime, but we commit numerous false start and illegal formation penalties in the second half leading to only 3 points, and the secondary lets Hartline (gasp!) connect with Cobb all over the field two drives in a row.

Froman doesn’t see the field for “undisclosed reasons.”

by CARD_G6 on Sep 18, 2009 1:24 PM EDT reply actions  

web

obviously didn’t watch the first game as a weekend on the lake with his girlfriend is more important than his cards loyalty. If you would’ve seen the 1st quarter, you could see how one’s opinion could change very easily.

by Dan99 on Sep 18, 2009 1:31 PM EDT reply actions  

I want to be optimistic but

Louisville 10 Kentucky 34. I like the writing our score first trend. Here are 4 fearless predictions.
1. Guy will bust a huge return on a kickoff, only for us to blow field position.
2. Someone is blocking a punt.
3. Vic will have a big gain called back after a ridiculous penalty.
4. I’ll have thrown my hat at the wall three times by 1:30

by cardscott5 on Sep 18, 2009 1:33 PM EDT via mobile reply actions  

is it...

..sunday yet?

ville 10
uk 28
(i bet the house if the spread gets to 19)

by k.f.powers.uofL on Sep 18, 2009 2:31 PM EDT reply actions  

Us 7 - them 35

I don’t think we’ll get any fieldgoals so I didn’t say 10. We have no defense and barely an offense. They have some of both

by sam34gtr on Sep 18, 2009 3:57 PM EDT reply actions  

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