FanPost

Looking ahead

Assuming we beat Seton Hall on Wednesday, next Saturday's tilt against WVU should be quite the game for a couple reasons.

  • UConn will have likely/hopefully/potentially (~60% chance) lost to Pitt earlier in the day and UL will have the chance to lock up its first BE regular season championship. Normally I think of a regular season championship as a completely meaningless achievement in college bball. But winning the BE this year for Louisville would be completely different. Mostly because the selection committee will likely be doling out two automatic #1 seeds to the two best BE teams and winning the conference outright is a pretty good way to enter that conversation.
  • Another huge implication then is ULs BE tournament draw as the #1 seed. The #1 seed has a HUGE advantage this year with Dominic James' injury. How great would it be to i) get a 2-day bye ii) take on Cincy/WVU most likely iii) then get to play Marq/Nova instead of Pitt/UConn in the semis to advance to the finals!?!

Scenarios for BE champ. It seems pretty straightforward to me (I think.. and this assumes Pitt beats Marquette at home and assuming we beat SHU at home):

Pitt beats UConn and we beat WVU - UL champs

Pitt beats UConn and we lose to WVU - Pitt champs (winner of three way mini-conference)

UConn beats Pitt and UL/WVU no longer matters - UConn champs (would win any tie-breaker with UL)

 

Taken together: A #1 seed in the NCAA tourney is much more likely than I originally thought (need to win the conference and advance to the finals of BE tourney)... and WAY more likely than after the ND fiasco two weeks ago.

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