Mid-week BE tourney projections

Bumped from Diaries

Syracuse-setonhall game effectively ends my dream of getting a 2nd round matchup with Cincy/SetonHall winner

Most games are easy to pick form here out.  Here is the outlook with these assumptions:

UL over GT
UConn over Prov and Cinc
Marq over Syr
ND over USF
WV over SJU
Pitt over DePaul
Vill over Prov
SHall over Rut
Cinc over DePaul

UofL gets Cincy/Nova winner in R1

Rank    Count    W-L    Tie Breaker   
1    Louisville    15-3       
2    Georgetown    14-4    TB1 - miniconf 2-0   
3    Connecticut    14-4    TB3 - record vs top teams   
4    Notre Dame    14-4    TB3 - record vs top teams   
5    Marquette    12-6       
6    West Virginia    11-7       
7    Pittsburgh    10-8       
8    Cincinnati    9-9    TB1 - h to h   
9    Villanova    9-9    TB1 - h to h   
10    Syracuse    8-10    TB1 - h to h   
11    Seton Hall    8-10    TB1 - h to h   
12    DePaul    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 2-1   
13    St. John's    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 1-1   
14    Providence    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 1-2   
15    South Florida    3-15       
16    Rutgers    2-16       

With UofL loss:

Now we get WV/Seton Hall winner.  Why does it always have to be WV?

Rank    Count    W-L    Tie Breaker   
1    Georgetown    15-3       
2    Connecticut    14-4    TB1 - miniconf 2-1   
3    Louisville    14-4    TB1 - miniconf 1-1   
4    Notre Dame    14-4    TB1 - miniconf 1-2   
5    Marquette    12-6       
6    West Virginia    11-7       
7    Pittsburgh    10-8       
8    Cincinnati    9-9    TB1 - h to h   
9    Villanova    9-9    TB1 - h to h   
10    Syracuse    8-10    TB1 - h to h   
11    Seton Hall    8-10    TB1 - h to h   
12    DePaul    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 2-1   
13    St. John's    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 1-1   
14    Providence    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 1-2   
15    South Florida    3-15       
16    Rutgers    2-16       

Potential for #1 UofL matchup with Pitt as #8 seed with Cincy over UConn or Pitt loss to DePaul

Potential for #1 UofL matchup with Syracuse as #9 seed with Syr win over Marq

Rank    Count    W-L    Tie Breaker   
1    Louisville    15-3       
2    Georgetown    14-4    TB1 - miniconf 2-0   
3    Connecticut    14-4    TB3 - record vs top teams   
4    Notre Dame    14-4    TB3 - record vs top teams   
5    West Virginia    11-7    TB1 - h to h   
6    Marquette    11-7    TB1 - h to h   
7    Pittsburgh    10-8       
8    Cincinnati    9-9    TB1 - miniconf 2-0   
9    Syracuse    9-9    TB3 - record vs top teams   
10    Villanova    9-9    TB3 - record vs top teams   
11    Seton Hall    8-10       
12    DePaul    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 2-1   
13    St. John's    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 1-1   
14    Providence    5-13    TB1 - miniconf 1-2   
15    South Florida    3-15       
16    Rutgers    2-16       

Not looking too bad - was a little worried we'd get the 1 seed but still have to face a Pitt, Syracuse, or WV 1st round.  I'll take a Cincy/Nova winner any day.