Revenge factor
Good win today. 1 game from the title!
Thanks to Cincy choking against Prov today, lots of scenarios are now pointing to a Seton Hall/Cincy #8/#9 BE tourney matchup. How sweet would it be to get the 1 seed and get to exact revenge on Mick or Gonzo?
Rank Team W-L Tie Breaker
1 #18 Louisville 15-3
2 #10 Georgetown 14-4 TB1 - miniconf 2-0
3 #16 Connecticut 14-4 TB3 - record vs UofL
4 #17 Notre Dame 14-4 TB3 - record vs UofL
5 #21 Marquette 12-6
6 West Virginia 11-7
7 Pittsburgh 10-8 TB1 - h to h
8 Seton Hall 10-8 TB1 - h to h
9 Cincinnati 9-9 TB1 - h to h
10 Villanova 9-9 TB1 - h to h
11 Syracuse 7-11
12 Providence 5-13 TB3 - record vs GT/Uconn
13 DePaul 5-13 TB3 - record vs GT/Uconn
14 St. John's 4-14
15 South Florida 3-15
16 Rutgers 2-16
Assumptions:
UL over GU
UConn wins out
Marq over Syr
ND wins out
WV wins out (including over Pitt)
Pitt over depaul
Nova over USF and Prov
Seton Hall over Syr and Rutgers
Cincy over depaul
Even with some changes (e.g. Syracuse over SHall), pretty good change of the 8/9 SHall/Cincy game setting up for us.
Now all we have to do is beat Georgetown!
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Ugh
I wouldn't mind WVU again (although Sagarin has them has the EIGHTH BEST TEAM in the country) but I think Syracuse playing in NYC for a spot in the tourney would be a tough game.
Let's hope we win next week and get a revenge game -- I think we would destroy either cinci or seton hall this time around.
Even worse
Then we get the winner of Pitt/Syracuse. I'd rater avoid Pitt if we can, although watching a rematch of the last Pitt/Syracuse game would be nice.
I guess..
As the 3 seed, we get the Pitt/Cuse/WVU winner and then UConn -- who I would love to play again.
If we get the 1 seed, we get Cinci/SHU (revenge!) and then the #4 seed ND in the semis. Don't want to face THOSE guys again -- although we did dominate them for 37 minutes, they can sure shoot the basketball.
I'll take ND over GU or UConn
You're right though - if you make it to the semis in the BE, your gonna have to play a pretty good team no matter what.
Don't forget
In short, I'd like to play the best team possible all 3 rounds.
Don't see a #1
In '05 it was Illinois, UNC, an OK Duke and a bunch of also rans. Washington got it by default.
I can't see a 6-loss UofL jumping into a #1 seed under any circumstances, despite the late run. Unless the NCAA heavily discounts the time without Padgett, I see us at #2 even if we run the table.
Since I am going to the Big East tourney I'd like to see whatever gives UofL the best chance of hanging around until the finals. Though the 3 game stretch you describe would be great to watch!

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