Pomeroy Projections

Pomeroy puts us at 26% to win the BE tournament.  Also, the BE is the only conference where no team has more than a 30% chance of winning.

http://basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=226

Big East

                     Qtrs Semis Final Champ
1  Georgetown         100  77.7  49.1  27.3
2  Louisville         100  75.5  45.2  26.2
6  Marquette         90.4  55.8  28.7  15.4
4  UConn              100  55.2  24.3  10.5
3  Notre Dame         100  42.8  17.1   7.2
5  West Virginia     81.6  41.3  18.4   8.1
7  Pitt              81.2  23.0   8.6   3.1
9  Syracuse          60.9  15.3   5.7   1.7
8  Villanova         39.1   6.9   1.9   0.4
12 Providence        18.4   3.4   0.6   0.09
10 Cincinnati        18.8   1.6   0.2   0.02
11 Seton Hall         9.6   1.4   0.2   0.02

Format: All games at Madison Square Garden, March 12-15.
Most likely championship matchup: Georgetown vs. Louisville (22%)