Big East Projections (Pomeroy)

by statprof on Feb 17, 2008 3:40 PM EST

Like Mike and "if things ended today", I can't help myself. So, updated best guess from Pomeroy predictions.

It's so tight for the 1-4 spots that inevitable surprises, like the one that happened and the one that almost happened yesterday, will make this very wrong in some way. Of course, 5-12 are so good, the seeding probably doesn't much matter.

Cincinnati (10-8)
Syracuse (9-9)

1) UConn (15-3)

Marquette (13-5)
Providence (5-11)

4) Notre Dame (14-4)

Pitt (11-7)
Seton Hall (8-10)

2) Georgetown (14-4)

West Virginia (12-6)
Villanova (6-12)

3) Louisville (14-4)

Out: DePaul, St. John's, South Florida, Rutgers

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number 3

Why would Georgetown be number 2 and us number 3?

by mapaul04 on Feb 17, 2008 4:11 PM EST reply actions

I think this assumes

they beat us in the last game of the season, in which case the tiebreaker becomes who had the better record against Connecticut. They beat the Huskies, we did not.

by Mike Rutherford on Feb 17, 2008 4:18 PM EST up reply actions

Exactly

Georgetown, Notre Dame, us all 14-4 (with us losing to Georgetown in the rematch). "Miniconference" has us and Georgetown 2-1, Notre Dame 0-2. So Notre Dame 4th. Then between us and Georgetown we start comparing records against the top - UConn. Georgetown won, we lost.

Again, won't take much to scramble this all up.

by statprof on Feb 17, 2008 4:59 PM EST up reply actions

Damn

But dems all like numbers and stuff.

Actually, I think this is what I would probably predict for spots 1-4 myself. Perhaps there is a possibility that math and Card Chronicle can coexist after all.

by Mike Rutherford on Feb 17, 2008 4:16 PM EST reply actions